Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.83K FINANCE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $389.17
Potential payout: $22.24K
Potential profit: $21.85K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.18K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.83K
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$75

If you invest $100 $2.94K back +$2.84K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $6.96K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$266.94

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

FINANCE leaderboard

Updated 2:11 AM

PnL: $206.92
Volume: $243.8
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $90.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $12.75

If you invest $100 $110.31 back +$10.31 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $86.63
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $82

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $200.31
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $866.18
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $155.86
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $43.44

If you invest $100 $117.99 back +$17.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $820.86
Potential payout: $923.36
Potential profit: $102.49
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $60.86

If you invest $100 $112.49 back +$12.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $197.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $363.73
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $869.27
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$18.5

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $321.84
Potential payout: $858.25
Potential profit: $536.41
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$81.53

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $193.4
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $440
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$640

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $389.17
Potential payout: $22.24K
Potential profit: $21.85K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$1.18K

If you invest $100 $5.71K back +$5.61K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $189.61
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $10.34
User PnL: -$5.38

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.98K
Potential profit: $49.98K
User PnL: -$99.95

PnL: $181.53
Volume: $0
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.18
Potential profit: $60.18
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

PnL: $176.89
Volume: $0
Win rate: 40.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $24.84
Potential payout: $25.23
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.7

If you invest $100 $101.57 back +$1.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.88

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $164.79
Volume: $0
Win rate: 48.3%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $160.04
Volume: $547.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $204.57
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$42.82

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $156.65
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$22.57

If you invest $100 $110.31 back +$10.31 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $156.55
Volume: $213.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$210.83

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $6.96K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$266.94

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $156.08
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $146.46
Volume: $33.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $51.27
Potential payout: $51.65
Potential profit: $0.39
User PnL: $2.73

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $50.05
Potential payout: $50.08
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.05

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $912.72
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $659.96

If you invest $100 $160 back +$60 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $1.52K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $156.65
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$22.57

If you invest $100 $110.31 back +$10.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $35.91
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $37.54

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $866.18
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $155.86
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $43.44

If you invest $100 $117.99 back +$17.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $820.86
Potential payout: $923.36
Potential profit: $102.49
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $60.86

If you invest $100 $112.49 back +$12.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $810.41
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $733.23
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$38.59

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.