Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $2.38K MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $68.55K
Potential profit: $60.5K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$26.22K

If you invest $100 $851.06 back +$751.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $32.79K
Potential payout: $79K
Potential profit: $46.22K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.72K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $28.75K
Potential profit: $26.3K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$298.75

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 11:28 PM

PnL: $458.49
Volume: $2.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.66K
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $938.11

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $753.62
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $264.16

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $316.52
Volume: $1.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Big Brother episode not air?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.7%
Current value: $236.2
Potential payout: $485
Potential profit: $248.81
Multiplier: 2.05x
User PnL: $231.35

If you invest $100 $205.34 back +$105.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Notorious" during McGregor vs Holloway?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $81.85
Potential payout: $212.6
Potential profit: $130.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $79.72

If you invest $100 $259.74 back +$159.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $283.14
Volume: $2.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $46.22K
Potential payout: $79K
Potential profit: $32.79K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6.72K

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $32.79K
Potential payout: $79K
Potential profit: $46.22K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$6.72K

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $283.14
Volume: $813.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $28.75K
Potential profit: $26.3K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$298.75

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $827.4
Potential payout: $8.27K
Potential profit: $7.45K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$409.11

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $271.87
Volume: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $11.08

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $937.5
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$162.5

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $245.86
Volume: $5.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $60.5K
Potential payout: $68.55K
Potential profit: $8.05K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $26.22K

If you invest $100 $113.31 back +$13.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.8K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $202.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.3K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $176.72
Volume: $1.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mallory McMorrow endorse Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $646.12
Potential payout: $734.23
Potential profit: $88.11
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $117.57

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.4%
Current value: $443.45
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $655.56
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $74.36

If you invest $100 $247.83 back +$147.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $131.25
Volume: $595.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $396.29
Potential payout: $757
Potential profit: $360.71
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $256.4

If you invest $100 $191.02 back +$91.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $323.4
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $116.6
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $209

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $109.35
Volume: $406.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $10.97K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$96

If you invest $100 $109.41 back +$9.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $10.34K
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $168.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $56.85

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $102.95
Volume: $476.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.8%
Current value: $1.66K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $345
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$45

If you invest $100 $120.85 back +$20.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be 40+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $689
Potential payout: $689.34
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $7.1

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $80.45
Volume: $1.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Nice Jab" or "Good Jab" 3+ times during McGregor vs Holloway?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $56.52
Potential payout: $132.99
Potential profit: $76.47
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $26.85

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the announcers say "Nasty" during McGregor vs Holloway?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $32.39
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $49.61
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $11.05

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $78.92
Volume: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $472.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $62.5

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $393.6
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $86.4
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $9.1

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.8K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $202.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.3K

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $10.97K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$96

If you invest $100 $109.41 back +$9.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $10.34K
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $168.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $56.85

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $68.55K
Potential profit: $60.5K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$26.22K

If you invest $100 $851.06 back +$751.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $7.18K
Potential payout: $9.42K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$165.4

If you invest $100 $131.23 back +$31.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $28.75K
Potential profit: $26.3K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$298.75

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.