Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $232.46 MENTIONS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $115.14K
Potential payout: $127.23K
Potential profit: $12.09K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.11K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $29.54K
Potential payout: $31.18K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $599.14

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

MENTIONS leaderboard

Updated 4:56 AM

PnL: $78.43
Volume: $887.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $472.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $62.5

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $396
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $84
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $11.5

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $45.44
Volume: $46.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $21.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $423.36
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $17.27
Volume: $184.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $16.62
Potential payout: $71.62
Potential profit: $55.01
Multiplier: 4.31x
User PnL: $15.9

If you invest $100 $431.03 back +$331.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jonathan Taylor be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 35.6%
Current value: $13.32
Potential payout: $37.46
Potential profit: $24.14
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $12.36

If you invest $100 $281.29 back +$181.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $17.1
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.55K
Potential payout: $15.56K
Potential profit: $7.78
User PnL: $23.35

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.76K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $4.38
User PnL: $4.43K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.91
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will anyone say "Power" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $43.34
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $17.27
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $19.34

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will anyone say "Kingdom" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $20.16
Potential payout: $30.31
Potential profit: $10.15
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $8.16

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.69
Volume: $188.44
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $121.63
Potential payout: $264.42
Potential profit: $142.79
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$5.37

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $94.16
Potential payout: $216.46
Potential profit: $122.3
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$26.25

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.17
Volume: $0
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$26.66

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $960.97
Potential profit: $960.97
User PnL: -$474.72

PnL: $11.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $29.54K
Potential payout: $31.18K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $599.14

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $196.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $254.16

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.44
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will anyone say "Queen" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E4 S3?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $143.95
Potential payout: $156.47
Potential profit: $12.52
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $53.95

If you invest $100 $108.7 back +$8.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $137.44
Potential payout: $150.2
Potential profit: $12.77
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $37.44

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.36
Volume: $599.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $653.06K
Potential payout: $653.39K
Potential profit: $326.69
User PnL: $2.79K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $173.41K
Potential payout: $181.58K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.48K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.51
Volume: $3.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $996.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: -$2.5

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.34
Volume: $3.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Daniel Milavsky position

Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Kaichi Uchida

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $0.5

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $2.93K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $70.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$37.5

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $196.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $254.16

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $21.36
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.3K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $423.36
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $912.42
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $419.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $712.62

If you invest $100 $145.99 back +$45.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $472.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $62.5

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

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