Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $158.14K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $49.91K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.05M
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$96.59K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:04 PM

PnL: $25.05K
Volume: $718.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $339.57K
Potential payout: $438.15K
Potential profit: $98.58K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.63K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $23.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $202.57K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.34K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.54K

If you invest $100 $114.48 back +$14.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $21.75K
Volume: $385.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $6.23K
Potential payout: $10.84K
Potential profit: $4.61K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $812.88

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $366.88

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $20.07K
Volume: $12.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $15.28K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.63K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.31K

If you invest $100 $267.74 back +$167.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.22K
Volume: $5.19K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $50.47K
Potential payout: $78.24K
Potential profit: $27.78K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $6.61K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $49.65K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $149.4
User PnL: $7.44K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.85K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.16K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.4K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $52.31K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $157.4
User PnL: $6.37K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.86K
Volume: $18.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $110.03K
Potential payout: $127.2K
Potential profit: $17.17K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $69.42K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $79.87K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$268.27

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.36K
Volume: $191.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $62.63K
Potential payout: $205.34K
Potential profit: $142.71K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $10.91K

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $49.91K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.05M
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$96.59K

If you invest $100 $2.2K back +$2.1K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.35K
Volume: $63.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $220.93K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $110.52
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $186.56K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $93.32
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.36K
Volume: $66.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $155.15K
Potential payout: $155.61K
Potential profit: $466.84
User PnL: $13.33K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.25K
Volume: $2.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $10.42K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $523.81

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.16K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.4K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $202.57K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.34K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.54K

If you invest $100 $114.48 back +$14.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $110.03K
Potential payout: $127.2K
Potential profit: $17.17K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

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