Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $399.67K
- Potential payout
- $695.08K
- Potential profit
- $295.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $58.87K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $155.3K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $342.68K
- Potential payout
- $442.16K
- Potential profit
- $99.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $16.79K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $276.88K
- Potential payout
- $320.09K
- Potential profit
- $43.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50.65K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
unknwnfnd
0xbc75...3f69 Public
- PnL
- $21.97K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $399.67K
- Potential payout
- $695.08K
- Potential profit
- $295.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $58.87K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $201.99K
- Potential payout
- $231.9K
- Potential profit
- $29.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Rank #2
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $21.22K
- Volume
- $714.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $342.68K
- Potential payout
- $442.16K
- Potential profit
- $99.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $16.79K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $276.88K
- Potential payout
- $320.09K
- Potential profit
- $43.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50.65K
Rank #3
Unconscious9485
0x560b...af09 Public
- PnL
- $19.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?
Ends Feb 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $764.73
- Potential profit
- $764.12
- Multiplier
- 1250.00x
- User PnL
- -$385.36
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14K
- Potential profit
- $16.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Rank #4
bernardbulletin
0x1c14...0869 Public @bernardbulletin
- PnL
- $19.68K
- Volume
- $12.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $15.26K
- Potential payout
- $40.91K
- Potential profit
- $25.65K
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $9.29K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- $5.01
Rank #5
0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8
0x64c8...73ce Public
- PnL
- $18.5K
- Volume
- $20.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$150
Rank #6
0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82
0xe0f3...d82c Public
- PnL
- $15.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #7
defillama7
0x4c8c...e36f Public
- PnL
- $14.26K
- Volume
- $4.85K
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $49.97K
- Potential payout
- $78.69K
- Potential profit
- $28.72K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $5.86K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $49.48K
- Potential payout
- $49.8K
- Potential profit
- $323.7
- User PnL
- $7.27K
Rank #8
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $9.78K
- Volume
- $19.95K
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $227.93K
- Potential payout
- $230.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $28.17K
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $52.13K
- Potential payout
- $52.47K
- Potential profit
- $341.04
- User PnL
- $6.19K
Rank #9
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $7.79K
- Volume
- $54.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $220.38K
- Potential payout
- $221.04K
- Potential profit
- $663.13
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $186.18K
- Potential payout
- $186.65K
- Potential profit
- $466.62
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Rank #10
lug
0xe0db...f44e Public
- PnL
- $7.23K
- Volume
- $2.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $16.57K
- Potential payout
- $18.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $11.32K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Rank #11
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $6.69K
- Volume
- $4.65K
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $226.89K
- Potential payout
- $230.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $211.84K
- Potential payout
- $216.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.25K
Rank #12
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $6.16K
- Volume
- $198.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $10.64K
- Potential payout
- $13.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $4.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $320.28
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $227.93K
- Potential payout
- $230.81K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $28.17K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $226.89K
- Potential payout
- $230.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $211.84K
- Potential payout
- $216.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.25K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $203.74K
- Potential payout
- $208.32K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $26.72K
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $201.99K
- Potential payout
- $231.9K
- Potential profit
- $29.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $4.96K
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