Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $298.58K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $250.21K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.75M
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.67K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $48.6K
Potential payout: $359.98K
Potential profit: $311.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.43K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $134.4K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $185.6K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$25.6K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:02 PM

PnL: $193.89K
Volume: $72.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $185.6K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $134.4K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $25.6K

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $134.4K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $185.6K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$25.6K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $28.33K
Volume: $7.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $13.79K
Potential payout: $15.07K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.52K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $11.8K
Potential payout: $12.05K
Potential profit: $247.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.95K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.58K
Volume: $21.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $624.17K
Potential payout: $624.48K
Potential profit: $312.24
User PnL: $312.87

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $91.16K
Potential payout: $91.67K
Potential profit: $504.17
User PnL: -$269.96

If you invest $100 $100.55 back +$0.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $12.04K
Volume: $27.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.72K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $560

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $434.95
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $834.87

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.77K
Volume: $1.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $206.52K
Potential payout: $335.8K
Potential profit: $129.28K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $37.28K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $200.14K
Potential payout: $239.69K
Potential profit: $39.55K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $31.38K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.64K
Volume: $116.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $82.62K
Potential payout: $83.12K
Potential profit: $498.69
User PnL: $21.1K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.12K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 72%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $152.27K
Potential payout: $182.36K
Potential profit: $30.09K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $16.32K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $101.3K
Potential payout: $102.07K
Potential profit: $765.52
User PnL: $27.85K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.4K
Volume: $602.87K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $250.21K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.75M
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.67K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $48.6K
Potential payout: $359.98K
Potential profit: $311.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.43K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.94K
Volume: $165.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $13.8K
Potential payout: $110.39K
Potential profit: $96.59K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.66K

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.61K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $188

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.87K
Volume: $84.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $813.22K
Potential payout: $819.37K
Potential profit: $6.15K
User PnL: $114.94K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $83.28K
Potential payout: $135.41K
Potential profit: $52.13K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $9.23K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.7K
Volume: $65.45K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $134.71K
Potential payout: $135.73K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: $8.66K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $104.58K
Potential payout: $125.24K
Potential profit: $20.67K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $7.48K

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.17K
Volume: $191.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.89K
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $39.26
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.89

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

Under position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$12

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $185.6K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $134.4K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $25.6K

If you invest $100 $172.41 back +$72.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $134.4K
Potential payout: $320K
Potential profit: $185.6K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$25.6K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $96.92K
Potential payout: $107.09K
Potential profit: $10.17K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $52.68K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $73.02K
Potential payout: $109.8K
Potential profit: $36.78K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $5.89K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $48.6K
Potential payout: $359.98K
Potential profit: $311.39K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.43K

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23.76K
Potential payout: $103.53K
Potential profit: $79.77K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $8.7

If you invest $100 $435.73 back +$335.73 estimated profit if it wins

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