Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $64.62K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $306.39K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.7M
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $135.58K

If you invest $100 $655.74 back +$555.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $84.7K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.07M
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$67.03K

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $75.53K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $473.76K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$13.82K

If you invest $100 $727.27 back +$627.27 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:16 PM

PnL: $8.52K
Volume: $378.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $389.41

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $3.84M
Potential profit: $3.83M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$62.01K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $306.39K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.7M
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $135.58K

If you invest $100 $655.74 back +$555.74 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $75.53K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $473.76K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$13.82K

If you invest $100 $727.27 back +$627.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.79K
Volume: $119.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $629.7K
Potential payout: $631.28K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: $50.39K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $627.64K
Potential payout: $628.58K
Potential profit: $942.87
User PnL: $80.07K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.74K
Volume: $21.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $10.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $9.5K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$1.55K

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $9.23K
Potential payout: $52.31K
Potential profit: $43.08K
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $566.57 back +$466.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.72K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $9.57K
Potential payout: $58.7K
Potential profit: $49.14K
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: $2.27K

If you invest $100 $613.5 back +$513.5 estimated profit if it wins

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $958.39
Potential profit: $958.39
User PnL: -$100

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.73K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $267.3K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $100.58

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.69K
Volume: $23.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $117.5K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $15.27K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.28K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $94.72K
Potential payout: $173.79K
Potential profit: $79.07K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $11.74K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $60.79K
Potential payout: $61K
Potential profit: $213.5
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $11.03K
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $874.65
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $184.35

If you invest $100 $107.93 back +$7.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.55K
Volume: $35.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65.3%
Current value: $11.95K
Potential payout: $18.32K
Potential profit: $6.37K
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $5.28K

If you invest $100 $153.26 back +$53.26 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $11.73K
Potential profit: $6.51K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $72.36

If you invest $100 $224.72 back +$124.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.38K
Volume: $13.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $84.7K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.07M
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$67.03K

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $57.12K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $113.39K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $12.6K

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $29.91K
Potential payout: $260.08K
Potential profit: $230.17K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.9K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $821.43
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.46K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.18K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.11K
Volume: $970.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $15.4K
Potential payout: $78.59K
Potential profit: $63.19K
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: -$38.13K

If you invest $100 $510.2 back +$410.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.61K
Potential payout: $14.81K
Potential profit: $199.94
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $177.13

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $94.72K
Potential payout: $173.79K
Potential profit: $79.07K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $11.74K

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $84.7K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.07M
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$67.03K

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $75.53K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $473.76K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$13.82K

If you invest $100 $727.27 back +$627.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $57.12K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $113.39K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $12.6K

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.73K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $267.3K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $100.58

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $15.4K
Potential payout: $78.59K
Potential profit: $63.19K
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: -$38.13K

If you invest $100 $510.2 back +$410.2 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.