Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $33.85K
- Potential payout
- $1.65M
- Potential profit
- $1.62M
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $43.62K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $46.36K
- Potential payout
- $181.8K
- Potential profit
- $135.44K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$41.65K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $276.88K
- Potential payout
- $320.09K
- Potential profit
- $43.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50.65K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $11.54K
- Volume
- $210.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $276.88K
- Potential payout
- $320.09K
- Potential profit
- $43.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50.65K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $268.1K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $21.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $76.51K
Rank #2
pantomime
0xd039...2532 Public
- PnL
- $4.75K
- Volume
- $22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.6%
- Current value
- $44.66K
- Potential payout
- $75K
- Potential profit
- $30.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $7.16K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $30.34K
- Potential payout
- $75K
- Potential profit
- $44.66K
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$7.16K
Rank #3
whig
0x40cf...d21d Public @whiggeries
- PnL
- $4.13K
- Volume
- $8.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $39.74K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- $19.74K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $22.12K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $545.05
Rank #4
korda77
0xa328...4977 Public
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.1%
- Current value
- $36.06
- Potential payout
- $49.36
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $19.6
Y
Yes position
Will Patrick Bertelotti finish 2nd at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $24.68
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $22.33
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $22.44
Rank #5
TraderSDG
0x6ae0...1472 Public
- PnL
- $3.63K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $481.52K
- Potential payout
- $505K
- Potential profit
- $23.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $55.72K
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $194.9K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$100
Rank #6
Jan777
0xb8e3...aaf2 Public
- PnL
- $3.43K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $142.01K
- Potential payout
- $150.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.27K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $79.48K
- Potential payout
- $85K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.38K
Rank #7
AF2028
0x7d56...4950 Public
- PnL
- $3.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 53.6%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $33.85K
- Potential payout
- $1.65M
- Potential profit
- $1.62M
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.5K
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $21.33K
- Potential payout
- $677.23K
- Potential profit
- $655.89K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$7.75K
Rank #8
KING-VIP23
0xfd66...fb6d Public
- PnL
- $3.12K
- Volume
- $35.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $37.5K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $430
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $25
Rank #9
Erasmus.
0xc658...b784 Public
- PnL
- $3.12K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $263.78K
- Potential payout
- $285.17K
- Potential profit
- $21.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $52.19K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $72.25K
- Potential payout
- $74.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.17K
Rank #10
momom
0x3c8a...b45a Public
- PnL
- $3.08K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 97.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $209.34K
- Potential payout
- $216.37K
- Potential profit
- $7.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.55K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $140.1K
- Potential payout
- $149.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Rank #11
0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960
0x6bab...0fe5 Public
- PnL
- $3.07K
- Volume
- $16.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $6.99K
- Potential payout
- $7.25K
- Potential profit
- $264.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $721.7
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.31K
- Potential payout
- $6.68K
- Potential profit
- $367.26
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $633.23
Rank #12
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $3.01K
- Volume
- $20K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.1K
- Potential payout
- $9.73K
- Potential profit
- $632.62
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $305.06
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $7.88K
- Potential payout
- $9.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $209.34K
- Potential payout
- $216.37K
- Potential profit
- $7.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.55K
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $194.9K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $142.01K
- Potential payout
- $150.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.27K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $140.1K
- Potential payout
- $149.84K
- Potential profit
- $9.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.8K
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $98.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$650
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $81.79K
- Potential payout
- $106.91K
- Potential profit
- $25.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.99K
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