Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $105.53K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $29.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $170.7K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $12.2K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $37.1K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $162.9K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $4.8K

If you invest $100 $539.08 back +$439.08 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 9:02 AM

PnL: $20.12K
Volume: $4.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $15.65K
Potential payout: $41.91K
Potential profit: $26.26K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.54K

If you invest $100 $267.74 back +$167.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.25K
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $49.97K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $28.72K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.86K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.43K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $373.5
User PnL: $7.22K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.26K
Volume: $607.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $412.31K
Potential payout: $546.1K
Potential profit: $133.79K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $9.81K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.16K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $52.07K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $393.51
User PnL: $6.14K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.44K
Volume: $50.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $220.27K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $773.65
User PnL: $2.17K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $186K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $653.27
User PnL: $2.75K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.03K
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $11.47K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.52K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.64K
Volume: $7.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$424.99

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.09M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.82K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.3K
Volume: $57.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $154.45K
Potential payout: $155.61K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: $12.63K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.81K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $634.26K
Potential payout: $641.64K
Potential profit: $7.38K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $31.71K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $37.1K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $162.9K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $4.8K

If you invest $100 $539.08 back +$439.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.38K
Volume: $23.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $38.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $51.47

If you invest $100 $103.52 back +$3.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $852.88
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$42.33

If you invest $100 $344.83 back +$244.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.33K
Volume: $8.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $19.86K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: $20.04

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.29K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $153.28
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $841.94

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $49.97K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $28.72K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.86K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $37.1K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $162.9K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $4.8K

If you invest $100 $539.08 back +$439.08 estimated profit if it wins

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