Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $35.24K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $184.63K
Potential payout: $2.27M
Potential profit: $2.08M
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$72.9K

If you invest $100 $1.23K back +$1.13K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.9K
Potential payout: $471.78K
Potential profit: $465.88K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$102.38

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $94.97K
Potential payout: $367.41K
Potential profit: $272.43K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $14.21K

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:56 AM

PnL: $8.82K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $184.63K
Potential payout: $2.27M
Potential profit: $2.08M
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$72.9K

If you invest $100 $1.23K back +$1.13K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $110.34K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $201.8K
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: $52.84K

If you invest $100 $282.89 back +$182.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.13K
Volume: $6.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $19.46K
Potential payout: $40.54K
Potential profit: $21.08K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$3.27K

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $884.38
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $4.48K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$77.34

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.19K
Volume: $19.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $17.58K
Potential payout: $17.63K
Potential profit: $44.06
User PnL: $361.32

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.08K
Potential payout: $14.09K
Potential profit: $7.04
User PnL: $7.19K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.11K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 52.2%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $333.21K
Potential payout: $415.22K
Potential profit: $82.01K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $23.59K

If you invest $100 $124.61 back +$24.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $555.3
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$201.72

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.08K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $6.24K
Potential payout: $12.11K
Potential profit: $5.87K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $4.26K

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $194.39
Potential payout: $194.49
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $93.82

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $28.88K
Potential payout: $111.74K
Potential profit: $82.86K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $5.79K

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $13.68K
Potential payout: $85.26K
Potential profit: $71.57K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $642.33

If you invest $100 $623.05 back +$523.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.57K
Volume: $62.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $35.73K
Potential profit: $33.42K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $1.71K

If you invest $100 $1.55K back +$1.45K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: -$663.25

If you invest $100 $282.89 back +$182.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.16K
Volume: $3.8K
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $16.91K
Potential payout: $65.4K
Potential profit: $48.5K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $9.84K

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $3.75K
Potential payout: $182.88K
Potential profit: $179.13K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.3K

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.11K
Volume: $40.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $27.38K
Potential payout: $105.91K
Potential profit: $78.53K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $2.55K

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $24.69K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $312.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $13.05K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.06K
Volume: $2.28K
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.4K
Potential payout: $8.55K
Potential profit: $4.15K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.06K

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.92
Potential profit: $129.92
User PnL: -$1.69

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $550.65
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.68K
Potential payout: $25.27K
Potential profit: $20.6K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$600.34

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $53.69
Potential payout: $550.65
Potential profit: $496.96
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $17.16

If you invest $100 $1.03K back +$925.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.93K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $379.5K
Potential payout: $393.88K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $18.37K

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $169.47K
Potential payout: $192.58K
Potential profit: $23.11K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.13K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $169.47K
Potential payout: $192.58K
Potential profit: $23.11K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.13K

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $110.34K
Potential payout: $312.14K
Potential profit: $201.8K
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: $52.84K

If you invest $100 $282.89 back +$182.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $94.97K
Potential payout: $367.41K
Potential profit: $272.43K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $14.21K

If you invest $100 $386.85 back +$286.85 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $24.69K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $312.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $13.05K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $19.46K
Potential payout: $40.54K
Potential profit: $21.08K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$3.27K

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $13.68K
Potential payout: $85.26K
Potential profit: $71.57K
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $642.33

If you invest $100 $623.05 back +$523.05 estimated profit if it wins

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