Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $66.7K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $296.34K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.71M
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $125.53K

If you invest $100 $677.97 back +$577.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $69.15K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$82.59K

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $74.98K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $474.31K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$14.37K

If you invest $100 $732.6 back +$632.6 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 9:09 PM

PnL: $15.49K
Volume: $433.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.39K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $389.41

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Current value: $2.16K
Potential payout: $5.73K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: -$698.47

If you invest $100 $264.55 back +$164.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $296.34K
Potential payout: $2.01M
Potential profit: $1.71M
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $125.53K

If you invest $100 $677.97 back +$577.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $74.98K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $474.31K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$14.37K

If you invest $100 $732.6 back +$632.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.04K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.73K
Potential payout: $302.04K
Potential profit: $267.3K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $100.58

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $790.45K
Potential payout: $903.37K
Potential profit: $112.92K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $138.25K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $30.67K
Potential payout: $31.54K
Potential profit: $867.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $7.75K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.56K
Volume: $23.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: $85.51

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Senegal vs. Iraq: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $955.28
Potential payout: $955.76
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $37.69

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.48K
Volume: $23.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $115.51K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $17.26K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $3.29K

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $85.16K
Potential payout: $173.79K
Potential profit: $88.63K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $2.18K

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.26K
Volume: $121.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $629.7K
Potential payout: $631.28K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: $50.39K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $627.64K
Potential payout: $628.58K
Potential profit: $942.87
User PnL: $80.07K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.24K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $60.85K
Potential payout: $61K
Potential profit: $152.5
User PnL: $1.14K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $11.19K
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $714
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $345

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $29.91K
Potential payout: $260.08K
Potential profit: $230.17K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.9K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $821.43
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $13.46K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.18K

If you invest $100 $1.74K back +$1.64K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $31.72K
Potential payout: $275.81K
Potential profit: $244.09K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $3.14K
Potential payout: $8.6K
Potential profit: $5.46K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$285

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.19K
Volume: $13.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $69.15K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$82.59K

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $49.45K
Potential payout: $170.51K
Potential profit: $121.06K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $4.93K

If you invest $100 $344.83 back +$244.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.83K
Volume: $33.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $280.08K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $40.01K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $53.86K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $175.53K
Potential payout: $235.61K
Potential profit: $60.08K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.88K

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $115.51K
Potential payout: $132.77K
Potential profit: $17.26K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $3.29K

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $85.16K
Potential payout: $173.79K
Potential profit: $88.63K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $2.18K

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $74.98K
Potential payout: $549.29K
Potential profit: $474.31K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$14.37K

If you invest $100 $732.6 back +$632.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $69.15K
Potential payout: $1.15M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$82.59K

If you invest $100 $1.67K back +$1.57K estimated profit if it wins

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