Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $118.63K
- Potential payout
- $650K
- Potential profit
- $531.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$206.37K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $323.55K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $16.54K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $218.38K
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$5K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $76.79K
- Volume
- $331.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $80.45K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.23K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $35.98K
- Potential payout
- $69.93K
- Potential profit
- $33.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $24.22K
Rank #2
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $58.27K
- Volume
- $7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $69.77K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $51.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$7.66K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $46.68K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $44.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $23.16K
Rank #3
yungstalin
0xa022...77f8 Public
- PnL
- $36.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $242.77K
- Potential payout
- $244.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- $57.4K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
Rank #4
yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd04...fbb0 Public
- PnL
- $31.84K
- Volume
- $44.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $31.64K
- Potential payout
- $61.51K
- Potential profit
- $29.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $20.19K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $16.54K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $218.38K
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$5K
Rank #5
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $26.67K
- Volume
- $449.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $535.46K
- Potential payout
- $655K
- Potential profit
- $119.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $206.74K
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $128.55K
- Potential payout
- $128.61K
- Potential profit
- $64.31
- User PnL
- $892.31
Rank #6
Logan.
0x5109...5e9c Public
- PnL
- $22.31K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $25.1K
- Potential payout
- $48.79K
- Potential profit
- $23.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $8.21K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.4%
- Current value
- $4.56K
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $660.92
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.93K
Rank #7
Phantom69
0x6e4b...3c6d Public
- PnL
- $19.94K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $28.65K
- Potential payout
- $55.69K
- Potential profit
- $27.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $9.56K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Rank #8
Brokie
0x1e1f...c855 Public @BrokieTrades
- PnL
- $18.27K
- Volume
- $24.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $126.21K
- Potential payout
- $331.7K
- Potential profit
- $205.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.12K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
Rank #9
MonacoLover
0xb8b4...1f6e Public
- PnL
- $17.55K
- Volume
- $3.5K
- Win rate
- 82%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $24.45K
- Potential payout
- $42.53K
- Potential profit
- $18.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.05K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $13.3K
- Potential payout
- $25.85K
- Potential profit
- $12.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $6.2K
Rank #10
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- $15.88K
- Volume
- $52.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.18K
- Potential payout
- $97.66K
- Potential profit
- $84.47K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.95K
- Potential payout
- $11.99K
- Potential profit
- $41.96
- User PnL
- $56.09
Rank #11
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $14.86K
- Volume
- $177.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $10.4K
- Potential profit
- $7.69K
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- $629.28
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $9.97K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $2.3K
Rank #12
VICTORMAX77
0xa771...42d1 Public
- PnL
- $13.7K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $19.69K
- Potential payout
- $38.26K
- Potential profit
- $18.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $160.59
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.68K
- Potential profit
- $58.68K
- User PnL
- -$999.97
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $118.63K
- Potential payout
- $650K
- Potential profit
- $531.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$206.37K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $80.45K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.23K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $69.77K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $51.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$7.66K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $62.67K
- Potential payout
- $65.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $46.68K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $44.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $23.16K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Yes91% No9%
Market Live
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes66.5% No33.5%
Market Live
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes33.5% No66.5%
Market Live
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Yes63.5% No36.5%
Market Live
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
Yes24% No76%
Market Live
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Yes9.5% No90.6%
Market Live
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
Yes72.5% No27.5%
Market Live
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Yes19% No81%