Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $118.63K
- Potential payout
- $650K
- Potential profit
- $531.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$206.37K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $324.65K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $17.03K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $217.88K
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$4.51K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $78.58K
- Volume
- $328.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $80.28K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.06K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.4%
- Current value
- $38.04K
- Potential payout
- $69.93K
- Potential profit
- $31.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $26.28K
Rank #2
hopedieslast
0x5739...5f1a Public
- PnL
- $56.66K
- Volume
- $7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $56.42K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $64.91K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$21.01K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $49.4K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $41.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $25.88K
Rank #3
yungstalin
0xa022...77f8 Public
- PnL
- $36.79K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $242.77K
- Potential payout
- $244.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- $57.4K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $185.85K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $114.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $35.85K
Rank #4
yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd04...fbb0 Public
- PnL
- $32.51K
- Volume
- $44.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $33.49K
- Potential payout
- $61.51K
- Potential profit
- $28.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $22.03K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $17.03K
- Potential payout
- $234.91K
- Potential profit
- $217.88K
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$4.51K
Rank #5
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $26.48K
- Volume
- $428.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $535.46K
- Potential payout
- $655K
- Potential profit
- $119.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $206.74K
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $128.55K
- Potential payout
- $128.61K
- Potential profit
- $64.31
- User PnL
- $892.31
Rank #6
Logan.
0x5109...5e9c Public
- PnL
- $22.68K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.4%
- Current value
- $26.54K
- Potential payout
- $48.79K
- Potential profit
- $22.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $9.65K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $4.59K
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $634.8
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Rank #7
Phantom69
0x6e4b...3c6d Public
- PnL
- $20.38K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $30.32K
- Potential payout
- $55.69K
- Potential profit
- $25.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $11.23K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.01K
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Rank #8
Brokie
0x1e1f...c855 Public @BrokieTrades
- PnL
- $18.4K
- Volume
- $24.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $126.21K
- Potential payout
- $331.7K
- Potential profit
- $205.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$35.12K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
Rank #9
MonacoLover
0xb8b4...1f6e Public
- PnL
- $17.46K
- Volume
- $3.5K
- Win rate
- 82%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $19.78K
- Potential payout
- $42.53K
- Potential profit
- $22.75K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$7.73K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $14.08K
- Potential payout
- $25.85K
- Potential profit
- $11.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $6.98K
Rank #10
trashpilot
0x9592...a7b8 Public
- PnL
- $14.71K
- Volume
- $52.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.18K
- Potential payout
- $97.66K
- Potential profit
- $84.47K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $11.95K
- Potential payout
- $11.99K
- Potential profit
- $41.96
- User PnL
- $56.09
Rank #11
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $14.2K
- Volume
- $168.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $10.4K
- Potential profit
- $7.69K
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- $629.28
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $9.86K
- Potential profit
- $7.51K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Rank #12
VICTORMAX77
0xa771...42d1 Public
- PnL
- $14K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.4%
- Current value
- $20.82K
- Potential payout
- $38.26K
- Potential profit
- $17.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.68K
- Potential profit
- $58.68K
- User PnL
- -$999.97
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $118.63K
- Potential payout
- $650K
- Potential profit
- $531.38K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$206.37K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $80.28K
- Potential payout
- $86.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.06K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $70.59K
- Potential payout
- $295.96K
- Potential profit
- $225.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $69.42K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $62.67K
- Potential payout
- $65.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $56.42K
- Potential payout
- $121.34K
- Potential profit
- $64.91K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$21.01K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $49.4K
- Potential payout
- $90.73K
- Potential profit
- $41.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $25.88K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Inflation Live
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes23.2% No76.8%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes4.8% No95.2%
Market Inflation Live
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? Dec 31, 2026
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes9% No91%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Yes12% No88%
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes4.6% No95.4%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Yes13.5% No86.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Yes16.5% No83.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%? Jan 19, 2027
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Yes3.5% No96.6%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Yes15.7% No84.4%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Yes3.8% No96.3%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Yes13% No87%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Yes8.2% No91.9%