Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $161.53K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $45.52K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.05M
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$100.98K

If you invest $100 $2.41K back +$2.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $30.5K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $169.5K
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $13.4K

If you invest $100 $655.74 back +$555.74 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:49 PM

PnL: $24.71K
Volume: $720.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $335.18K
Potential payout: $438.15K
Potential profit: $102.97K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $12.25K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $23.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $202.68K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.22K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.65K

If you invest $100 $114.42 back +$14.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $21.76K
Volume: $405.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $6.2K
Potential payout: $10.78K
Potential profit: $4.58K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $808.87

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $366.88

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.92K
Volume: $21.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $15.28K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.63K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.31K

If you invest $100 $267.74 back +$167.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.21K
Volume: $5.29K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.68K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $124.5
User PnL: $7.47K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $49.67K
Potential payout: $78.23K
Potential profit: $28.55K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.82K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $11.16K
Volume: $18.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $110.03K
Potential payout: $127.2K
Potential profit: $17.17K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $69.42K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $79.87K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$268.27

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.42K
Volume: $191.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $60.57K
Potential payout: $205.34K
Potential profit: $144.76K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $8.86K

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $45.52K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.05M
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$100.98K

If you invest $100 $2.41K back +$2.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.45K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.16K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.4K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.34K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $131.17
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.28K
Volume: $9.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $10.59K
Potential payout: $13.41K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.25K

If you invest $100 $126.58 back +$26.58 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $5.63K
Potential payout: $17.89K
Potential profit: $12.25K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $932.9

If you invest $100 $317.46 back +$217.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.12K
Volume: $101.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $220.93K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $110.52
User PnL: $2.84K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $186.56K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $93.32
User PnL: $3.31K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.06K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $637.14K
Potential payout: $641.64K
Potential profit: $4.49K
User PnL: $34.6K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $38.7K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $161.3K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.16K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.4K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $202.68K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.22K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.65K

If you invest $100 $114.42 back +$14.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $110.03K
Potential payout: $127.2K
Potential profit: $17.17K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $69.42K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $79.87K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$268.27

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $60.57K
Potential payout: $205.34K
Potential profit: $144.76K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $8.86K

If you invest $100 $338.98 back +$238.98 estimated profit if it wins

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