Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $174.25K
- Potential payout
- $850K
- Potential profit
- $675.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$250.75K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
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Top 10 PnL on this page $115.86K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $679.49K
- Potential payout
- $854.7K
- Potential profit
- $175.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $251.29K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
Unconscious9485
0x560b...af09 Public
- PnL
- $19.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?
Ends Feb 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $764.73
- Potential profit
- $764.12
- Multiplier
- 1250.00x
- User PnL
- -$385.36
No position
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
Ends Jan 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.14K
- Potential profit
- $16.14K
- User PnL
- -$4.4K
Rank #2
87867564576879
0xeb6f...25f0 Public
- PnL
- $15.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.19K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $978.66
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $8.91K
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $108.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Rank #3
0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82
0xe0f3...d82c Public
- PnL
- $15.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #4
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $11.44K
- Volume
- $282.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $679.49K
- Potential payout
- $854.7K
- Potential profit
- $175.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $251.29K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $174.25K
- Potential payout
- $850K
- Potential profit
- $675.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$250.75K
Rank #5
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $10.19K
- Volume
- $157.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $100.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $499.27
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Rank #6
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $9.51K
- Volume
- $14.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $650.74K
- Potential payout
- $653.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- $81.87K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $622.54K
- Potential payout
- $625.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- $49.15K
Rank #7
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $9.41K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $30.28K
- Potential payout
- $31.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.35K
Rank #8
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b
0x4207...b81b Public
- PnL
- $9.12K
- Volume
- $36.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $973.1
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $916.42
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $587.56
- Potential payout
- $799.4
- Potential profit
- $211.84
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$42.29
Rank #9
ydxistheking
0xdbf7...fbea Public @EldarYadin
- PnL
- $8.88K
- Volume
- $16.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.07K
- Potential payout
- $18.62K
- Potential profit
- $549.29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $14.65K
- Potential payout
- $22.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.71K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $7.29K
Rank #10
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $6.68K
- Volume
- $84.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Rank #11
whig
0x40cf...d21d Public
- PnL
- $6.64K
- Volume
- $3.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $33.22K
- Potential payout
- $36.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24.92K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $19.47K
- Potential payout
- $19.71K
- Potential profit
- $236.51
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Rank #12
nojnn
0x7f9e...3a0e Public
- PnL
- $6.47K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $518.71K
- Potential payout
- $592.81K
- Potential profit
- $74.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $109.39K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $62.15K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.39K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $174.25K
- Potential payout
- $850K
- Potential profit
- $675.75K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$250.75K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $166.65K
- Potential payout
- $168.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.15K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $62.15K
- Potential payout
- $64.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $16.39K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $40.11K
- Potential payout
- $41.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $97.73
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $33.22K
- Potential payout
- $36.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24.92K
Market Context
