Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $116.9K
- Potential payout
- $700K
- Potential profit
- $583.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$233.1K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $337.02K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $119.71K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $254.39K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$80.63K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $27.5K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $172.5K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.8K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $69.31K
- Volume
- $199.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Rank #2
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $60.43K
- Volume
- $914.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $367.43K
- Potential payout
- $429.74K
- Potential profit
- $62.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $36.44K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $111.07K
- Potential payout
- $111.57K
- Potential profit
- $502.08
- User PnL
- $4.35K
Rank #3
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $52.37K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $119.71K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $254.39K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$80.63K
Rank #4
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $51.18K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $116.99K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $248.61K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$55.37K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #5
pilimili
0xd104...acef Public
- PnL
- $23.08K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $592.55K
- Potential payout
- $641.64K
- Potential profit
- $49.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$9.99K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $36.9K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $163.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $4.6K
Rank #6
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $18.76K
- Volume
- $1.32K
- Win rate
- 78%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $461.2K
- Potential payout
- $499.4K
- Potential profit
- $38.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $23.97K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Rank #7
Valen9
0x162f...798d Public
- PnL
- $17.3K
- Volume
- $82.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $69.87K
- Potential payout
- $70.33K
- Potential profit
- $457.12
- User PnL
- $417.1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $67.04K
- Potential payout
- $72.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$887.77
Rank #8
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $15.83K
- Volume
- $444.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $587.26K
- Potential payout
- $705K
- Potential profit
- $117.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $234.75K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $116.9K
- Potential payout
- $700K
- Potential profit
- $583.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$233.1K
Rank #9
ranger44
0x3355...a126 Public
- PnL
- $14.48K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80.8%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $371.43K
- Potential payout
- $402.2K
- Potential profit
- $30.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.76K
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $50.85
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Rank #10
truefish31
0x811b...7006 Public
- PnL
- $14.26K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $32.6K
- Potential payout
- $101.87K
- Potential profit
- $69.27K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$11.78K
Rank #11
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $14.19K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $254.32K
- Potential payout
- $275.38K
- Potential profit
- $21.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.02K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $91.64K
- Potential payout
- $96.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$290.31
Rank #12
PatrocIus
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $10.55K
- Volume
- $167.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $124.95K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $25.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $49.95K
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $95.96K
- Potential payout
- $102.08K
- Potential profit
- $6.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.23K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $209.97K
- Potential payout
- $325.53K
- Potential profit
- $115.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $109.34K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $119.71K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $254.39K
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$80.63K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $116.9K
- Potential payout
- $700K
- Potential profit
- $583.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$233.1K
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $95.96K
- Potential payout
- $102.08K
- Potential profit
- $6.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $11.23K
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Event Soccer Live
Czechia vs. South Africa
CzechiaDraw (Czechia vs. South Africa) Jun 18, 2026
Czechia Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Yes72.5% No27.5%
Draw (Czechia vs. South Africa) Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Yes20.5% No79.5%
Event Soccer Live
Czechia vs. South Africa - Second Half Result
CzechiaSouth Africa Jun 18, 2026
Czechia Czechia to win the second half?
Yes37% No63%
South Africa South Africa to win the second half?
Yes26.5% No73.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Jan 20, 2027
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes16% No84%