Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $148.66K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $30.1K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $169.9K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $13K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:12 PM

PnL: $22.55K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $202.45K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.45K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.42K

If you invest $100 $114.55 back +$14.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.19K
Volume: $437.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $4.25K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $749.71

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $366.88

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.82K
Volume: $21.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $15.28K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.63K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.31K

If you invest $100 $267.74 back +$167.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.48K
Volume: $723.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $335.18K
Potential payout: $438.15K
Potential profit: $102.97K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $12.25K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.23K
Volume: $5.92K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $50.06K
Potential payout: $77.61K
Potential profit: $27.55K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $6.55K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $49.68K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $124.5
User PnL: $7.47K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.37K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.27K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.52K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.34K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $131.17
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.51K
Volume: $101.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $135.22K
Potential payout: $136.73K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $11.58K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $66.46K
Potential payout: $76.83K
Potential profit: $10.37K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.55K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.38K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $637.47K
Potential payout: $641.64K
Potential profit: $4.17K
User PnL: $34.92K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $38.7K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $161.3K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.63K
Volume: $2.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $10.72K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $825.31

If you invest $100 $139.86 back +$39.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.3K
Volume: $67.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $155.22K
Potential payout: $155.61K
Potential profit: $389.03
User PnL: $13.41K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.24K
Volume: $18.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $110.07K
Potential payout: $127.25K
Potential profit: $17.18K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $69.42K
Potential payout: $149.29K
Potential profit: $79.87K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$268.27

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.27K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.52K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $202.45K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.45K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.42K

If you invest $100 $114.55 back +$14.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $110.07K
Potential payout: $127.25K
Potential profit: $17.18K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.6K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

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Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Yes3.2% No96.9%