Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $21.89K
- Potential profit
- $18.72K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$309.32
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $37.38K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $131.69
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $31.69
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $32.49
- Potential payout
- $406.16
- Potential profit
- $373.67
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $8.6
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
ZnotluvuiSamez
0x2889...9226 Public
- PnL
- $4.36K
- Volume
- $615.04K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.39
- Potential profit
- $31.39
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Rank #14
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $4.02K
- Volume
- $49.66K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$8K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$411.8
Rank #15
pakukudolphi
0x88e2...7489 Public
- PnL
- $3.83K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Rank #16
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $3.81K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 56%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #17
sabsabinxz
0xd3ec...6603 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 35.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Rank #18
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $3.64K
- Volume
- $8.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $37.21
- Potential payout
- $158.34
- Potential profit
- $121.13
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $27.9
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $32.61
- Potential payout
- $203.8
- Potential profit
- $171.19
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $20.62
Rank #19
back-in-whack
0x5235...c04a Public
- PnL
- $3.59K
- Volume
- $700
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $50.17
- Potential payout
- $127.01
- Potential profit
- $76.84
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Rank #20
e88888
0x0d15...c454 Public
- PnL
- $3.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.37K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $625
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $625
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.83K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $756.23
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $343.74
Rank #21
browne
0xbf96...9942 Public
- PnL
- $3.45K
- Volume
- $43.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $982.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $517.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$307.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $421.87
- Potential payout
- $482.13
- Potential profit
- $60.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $27.47
Rank #22
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $3.39K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.49K
- Potential payout
- $10.53K
- Potential profit
- $36.84
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $10.03K
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $199.39
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $497.65
Rank #23
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $3.1K
- Volume
- $8.87K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.1K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $4.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $300
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $9.8K
- Potential payout
- $9.99K
- Potential profit
- $189.88
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $209.87
Rank #24
0x8251D7c1CA289BC0D993B4F6eAe36785472E879D-1777748373551
0x8251...879d Public
- PnL
- $3.08K
- Volume
- $24.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $9.35K
- Potential profit
- $701.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $103.49
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.37K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $625
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $625
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.83K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $756.23
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $343.74
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $21.89K
- Potential profit
- $18.72K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$309.32
No position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $210
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $982.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $517.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$307.5
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