Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $19.02K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $17.4K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $318.73
Potential payout: $27.72K
Potential profit: $27.4K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.03K

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $21.99
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$382.92

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:09 AM

PnL: $2.57K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $4.73K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$146.35

If you invest $100 $333.33 back +$233.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $14.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $396.21

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2K
Volume: $826
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $77.5

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $50.17
Potential payout: $127.01
Potential profit: $76.84
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $10.8

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2K
Volume: $3.97K
Win rate: 59.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $581.93
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$184.51

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $385.22
Potential payout: $9.06K
Potential profit: $8.68K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $73.61

If you invest $100 $2.35K back +$2.25K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $19.8
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$2

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $10.39
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1

If you invest $100 $192.31 back +$92.31 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.84K
Volume: $6.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $17.4K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $111
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.89K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $21.45

If you invest $100 $5.41K back +$5.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.7K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 31.3%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.57K
Volume: $2.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.49K
Potential payout: $10.53K
Potential profit: $36.84
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $10.05K
Potential payout: $10.23K
Potential profit: $178.94
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $518.1

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 29%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $893.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.55
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $5.2

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.85
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $4.9

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.38K
Volume: $1.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $101.52
Potential payout: $101.93
Potential profit: $0.41
User PnL: $15.99

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $39.67
Potential payout: $528.98
Potential profit: $489.31
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$27.16

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.23K
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $14.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $396.21

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $825.94
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$45.36

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $581.93
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$184.51

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $385.22
Potential payout: $9.06K
Potential profit: $8.68K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $73.61

If you invest $100 $2.35K back +$2.25K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $318.73
Potential payout: $27.72K
Potential profit: $27.4K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.03K

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $17.4K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

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