Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $19K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $988.5K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$239

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $17.4K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.78K
Potential payout: $124.03K
Potential profit: $112.25K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$34.01K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:33 AM

PnL: $2.41K
Volume: $826
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $77.5

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $50.17
Potential payout: $127.01
Potential profit: $76.84
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $10.8

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.34K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 35.6%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $19.8
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$2

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $10.39
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1

If you invest $100 $192.31 back +$92.31 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.3K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.99K
Volume: $2.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $10.48K
Potential payout: $10.53K
Potential profit: $42.1
User PnL: $1.08K

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.02K
Potential payout: $10.23K
Potential profit: $209.62
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $487.43

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.89K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 31.3%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.83K
Volume: $5.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $113.1
Potential payout: $17.4K
Potential profit: $17.29K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$22.83

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $111
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.89K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $21.45

If you invest $100 $5.41K back +$5.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1

PnL: $1.58K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 29%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.55K
Volume: $154
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.78K
Potential payout: $124.03K
Potential profit: $112.25K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$34.01K

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.5K
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $988.5K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$239

If you invest $100 $8.7K back +$8.6K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.48K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.15K
Potential payout: $9.16K
Potential profit: $13.74
User PnL: $268.19

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $8.94K
Potential payout: $9.3K
Potential profit: $357.88
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $117.25

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.33K
Volume: $8.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $97.53
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17.01

If you invest $100 $107.35 back +$7.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $4.6
User PnL: $13.63

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.19K
Volume: $3.97K
Win rate: 59.1%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $581.93
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$184.51

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $376.16
Potential payout: $9.06K
Potential profit: $8.69K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $64.55

If you invest $100 $2.41K back +$2.31K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.02K
Potential payout: $10.23K
Potential profit: $209.62
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $487.43

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $8.94K
Potential payout: $9.3K
Potential profit: $357.88
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $117.25

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $701.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $103.49

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $97.53
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17.01

If you invest $100 $107.35 back +$7.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $17.96
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $66.77

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $581.93
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$184.51

If you invest $100 $487.8 back +$387.8 estimated profit if it wins

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