Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $57.96K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $20.7K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.3K
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$29.3K

If you invest $100 $483.09 back +$383.09 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $3.68K
Potential payout: $33.03K
Potential profit: $29.34K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$85.24

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 9:25 PM

PnL: $7.67K
Volume: $26.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $3.68K
Potential payout: $33.03K
Potential profit: $29.34K
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$85.24

If you invest $100 $896.86 back +$796.86 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.59K
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $209.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $347.58

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.98K
Volume: $90.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $18.34K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $736.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.83K
Volume: $4.49K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 2

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$100

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$50

PnL: $5.7K
Volume: $301.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $20.96K
Potential payout: $21.03K
Potential profit: $73.61
User PnL: $2.15K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $20.7K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.3K
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$29.3K

If you invest $100 $483.09 back +$383.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.47K
Volume: $761.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.94K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $760.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $787.36

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $701.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $103.49

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.41K
Volume: $82.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $104.38K
Potential payout: $104.43K
Potential profit: $52.22
User PnL: $3.07K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $98.85K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$650

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.29K
Volume: $132.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $4.41K
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $244.09
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$105.71

If you invest $100 $105.54 back +$5.54 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $128.78
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $106.66

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.07K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $287.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $37.5

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $26.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $94.93

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.02K
Volume: $3.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$966.6

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.42K
Potential profit: $23.42K
User PnL: -$13.13K

PnL: $5.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 54.3%
Open positions: 3

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.8K

PlayTime position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.41K
User PnL: -$1.5K

PnL: $4.98K
Volume: $6.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $429.62
Potential payout: $660.95
Potential profit: $231.33
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$121.85

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $388.76
Potential payout: $388.95
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $21.25

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $20.09K
Potential payout: $20.92K
Potential profit: $826.31
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $216.66

If you invest $100 $104.11 back +$4.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $18.34K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $736.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $11.13K
Potential payout: $13.25K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.24K

If you invest $100 $119.05 back +$19.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.94K
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $760.8
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $787.36

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $701.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $103.49

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

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