Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $374.16
- Potential payout
- $27.72K
- Potential profit
- $27.34K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$977.48
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $16K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $388.85
- Potential payout
- $9.06K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $77.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $5.96K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
back-in-whack
0x5235...c04a Public
- PnL
- $2K
- Volume
- $826
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $50.17
- Potential payout
- $127.01
- Potential profit
- $76.84
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $10.8
Rank #14
sabsabinxz
0xd3ec...6603 Public
- PnL
- $1.92K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 35.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $20.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $19.8
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1
Rank #15
ocean322
0xdf17...97d1 Public
- PnL
- $1.87K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.49K
- Potential payout
- $10.53K
- Potential profit
- $36.84
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $10.02K
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $209.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $487.43
Rank #16
Gucky-45
0xe613...540e Public
- PnL
- $1.86K
- Volume
- $2.6K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $111
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.89K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $21.45
Yes position
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $110.17
- Potential payout
- $22.03K
- Potential profit
- $21.92K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$165.26
Rank #17
Knicksin3
0x4194...9809 Public
- PnL
- $1.58K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
mindeirs
0xe7cb...d447 Public
- PnL
- $1.43K
- Volume
- $3.97K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $610.31
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$156.12
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $388.85
- Potential payout
- $9.06K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $77.23
Rank #19
881112
0xd426...334a Public
- PnL
- $1.41K
- Volume
- $21.11K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $5.96K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.27K
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $227.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Rank #20
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $1.36K
- Volume
- $25.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $15.27K
- Potential payout
- $20.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.96K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$231.45
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $14.06K
- Potential payout
- $15.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Rank #21
SitsToPee
0x6d57...bfc5 Public
- PnL
- $1.33K
- Volume
- $8.58K
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-18 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $95.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.15
No position
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- User PnL
- $13.63
Rank #22
forinnerpsandr1x11222
0x5c14...cc49 Public
- PnL
- $1.23K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.15K
- Potential payout
- $9.16K
- Potential profit
- $13.74
- User PnL
- $268.19
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $8.94K
- Potential payout
- $9.3K
- Potential profit
- $357.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $117.25
Rank #23
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $1.14K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $58.23
- Potential payout
- $23.29K
- Potential profit
- $23.23K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$703.57
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $55.23
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$155.86
Rank #24
pakukudolphi
0x88e2...7489 Public
- PnL
- $1.14K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- -$1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $10.02K
- Potential payout
- $10.23K
- Potential profit
- $209.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $487.43
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $8.94K
- Potential payout
- $9.3K
- Potential profit
- $357.88
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $117.25
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $9.35K
- Potential profit
- $701.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $103.49
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $5.96K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.27K
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $227.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $59.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
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