Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $44.39K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $322.75K
Potential profit: $320.65K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$423.45

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $106.27K
Potential profit: $104.73K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $710.74

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:26 PM

PnL: $5.09K
Volume: $19.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.3%
Current value: $324.95
Potential payout: $498
Potential profit: $173.06
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

If you invest $100 $153.26 back +$53.26 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $256.47
Potential payout: $498
Potential profit: $241.53
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$2.49

If you invest $100 $194.17 back +$94.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.92K
Volume: $23.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $14.72K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $669.64
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.68K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $13.8K
Potential payout: $14.54K
Potential profit: $741.48
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.91K

If you invest $100 $105.37 back +$5.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.91K
Volume: $67.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $29.63K
Potential payout: $37.37K
Potential profit: $7.74K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $10.5K

If you invest $100 $126.1 back +$26.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $29.14K
Potential payout: $53.47K
Potential profit: $24.33K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $269.02

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.64K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$966.6

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.42K
Potential profit: $23.42K
User PnL: -$13.13K

PnL: $4.64K
Volume: $102.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $322.75K
Potential profit: $320.65K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$423.45

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $230.25K
Potential profit: $228.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $156.11

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.82

If you invest $100 $229.89 back +$129.89 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $247.74
Potential profit: $246.63
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$6.3

If you invest $100 $22.22K back +$22.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.96K
Volume: $11.77K
Win rate: 18%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.96K
Volume: $14.53K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $10.67
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $10.07

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?

Ends Jun 5, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $11.76
Potential payout: $81.07
Potential profit: $69.31
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $7.25

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.94K
Volume: $9.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: $1.38K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $915.3
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $164.7

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.88K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $441.96
Potential payout: $508
Potential profit: $66.04
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $86.36

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $214.54
Potential payout: $221.75
Potential profit: $7.21
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $14.4

If you invest $100 $103.36 back +$3.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.88K
Volume: $8.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $412.1
Potential payout: $446
Potential profit: $33.9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $153.42

If you invest $100 $108.23 back +$8.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $349.87
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.64K
Multiplier: 8.55x
User PnL: $36.89

If you invest $100 $854.7 back +$754.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.87K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $848.68
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $237.63

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $4.91K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $277.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $709.44

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $14.72K
Potential payout: $15.39K
Potential profit: $669.64
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.68K

If you invest $100 $104.55 back +$4.55 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $13.8K
Potential payout: $14.54K
Potential profit: $741.48
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.91K

If you invest $100 $105.37 back +$5.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $13.44K
Potential payout: $22.21K
Potential profit: $8.77K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $5.22K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $5.94K
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $848.68
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $237.63

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $4.91K
Potential payout: $5.18K
Potential profit: $277.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $709.44

If you invest $100 $105.65 back +$5.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.97K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $724.99

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

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