Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $52.96K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $8.28K
Potential payout: $23.33K
Potential profit: $15.05K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$579.52

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $18.9K
Potential payout: $27.2K
Potential profit: $8.3K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $766.28

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $4.34K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $948.59

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:11 PM

PnL: $6.26K
Volume: $6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.34K
Potential payout: $7.05K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $83.63

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $3.77K
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $4.34K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $948.59

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.5K
Volume: $131.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $192.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $457.5

If you invest $100 $104 back +$4 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $4.44K
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $265.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$125.71

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.45K
Volume: $761.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $701.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $103.49

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $8.57K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $188.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $118.27

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.44K
Volume: $90.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $15.13K
Potential payout: $18.34K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $736.19

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.93K
Volume: $187.79K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $11.25K
Potential payout: $11.29K
Potential profit: $39.51
User PnL: $21.35

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.71K
Potential payout: $10.72K
Potential profit: $5.36
User PnL: $247.21

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.92K
Volume: $104.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.42

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$92

PnL: $4.81K
Volume: $260.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $18.9K
Potential payout: $27.2K
Potential profit: $8.3K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $766.28

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $14.57K
Potential payout: $16.84K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$196.46

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.79K
Volume: $5.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.67K
Potential profit: $86.67K
User PnL: -$17.33K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.67K
Potential profit: $86.67K
User PnL: -$17.33K

PnL: $4.67K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.84K
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $26.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $94.93

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $103.62
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.58

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.42K
Potential profit: $23.42K
User PnL: -$13.13K

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33K
Potential profit: $13.33K
User PnL: -$9.29K

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $12.82K
Potential payout: $16.12K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $764.72

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $11.52K
Potential payout: $13.25K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2.63K

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $10.13K
Potential payout: $10.31K
Potential profit: $180.49
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $232.05

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $8.65K
Potential payout: $9.35K
Potential profit: $701.41
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $103.49

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $8.57K
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $188.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $118.27

If you invest $100 $102.2 back +$2.2 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $8.28K
Potential payout: $23.33K
Potential profit: $15.05K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$579.52

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

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