Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $26.47K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $87.1
Potential payout: $174.21K
Potential profit: $174.12K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.47K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $270.65K
Potential profit: $266.99K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$465.78

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $487.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$98.4

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:27 AM

PnL: $2.79K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $78.22
Potential payout: $95.99
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $15.15

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $64
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $136
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$12

If you invest $100 $312.5 back +$212.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.79K
Volume: $18.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.42K
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $2.21
User PnL: $431.2

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.38K
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $73.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $126.45

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.76K
Volume: $6.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $89
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3

If you invest $100 $112.36 back +$12.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $87.1
Potential payout: $174.21K
Potential profit: $174.12K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.47K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.71K
Volume: $317
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $7.94K
Potential payout: $17.44K
Potential profit: $9.51K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $87.22

If you invest $100 $219.78 back +$119.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $7.77K
Potential payout: $39.15K
Potential profit: $31.38K
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $7.45K

If you invest $100 $503.78 back +$403.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.66K
Volume: $9.3K
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.61K
Volume: $99.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $8.89K
Potential payout: $8.92K
Potential profit: $31.21
User PnL: $32.16

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.38K
Potential payout: $10.29K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.39K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.6K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.59K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.54K
Volume: $26.3K
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.42K
Volume: $4.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $487.5
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $74.51K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$98.4

If you invest $100 $15.38K back +$15.28K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $54.53K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $37.84

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.28K
Volume: $7.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $627.83
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $791.84

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $270.65K
Potential profit: $266.99K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$465.78

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.27K
Volume: $67.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $20.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.3
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$79.3

If you invest $100 $966.18 back +$866.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $4.38

If you invest $100 $10K back +$9.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $7.41K
Potential payout: $60.46K
Potential profit: $53.05K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $6.93K

If you invest $100 $816.33 back +$716.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.3K
Potential payout: $50.34K
Potential profit: $43.04K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.77K

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.38K
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $73.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $126.45

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.7K
Potential payout: $4.33K
Potential profit: $627.83
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $791.84

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.65K
Potential payout: $270.65K
Potential profit: $266.99K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$465.78

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.36K
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $195.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.74K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

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