Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $49.38K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $26.32
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$12.28

If you invest $100 $13.33K back +$13.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $595.11
Potential payout: $17.76K
Potential profit: $17.17K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.78K

If you invest $100 $2.99K back +$2.89K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $571.29
Potential payout: $12.16K
Potential profit: $11.58K
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$508.09

If you invest $100 $2.13K back +$2.03K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:50 PM

PnL: $5.54K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.5K
Volume: $34.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $832.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.17K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$772.5

If you invest $100 $1.8K back +$1.7K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $595.11
Potential payout: $17.76K
Potential profit: $17.17K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.78K

If you invest $100 $2.99K back +$2.89K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.38K
Volume: $1.5K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $5.15K
Volume: $26.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $616.39
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $514.6
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $583.13

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $610.08
Potential payout: $721.99
Potential profit: $111.91
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $582.31

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.1K
Volume: $138.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $19.61

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $939.73
Potential payout: $12.53K
Potential profit: $11.59K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$44.71

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.02K
Volume: $31.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.83K
Volume: $1.63K
Win rate: 92%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.4K
Potential profit: $43.4K
User PnL: -$16.89K

No position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$3.06K

PnL: $4.8K
Volume: $115K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $45.39
Potential payout: $917
Potential profit: $871.61
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$20.08

If you invest $100 $2.02K back +$1.92K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $38.42
Potential payout: $522.75
Potential profit: $484.33
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $17.51

If you invest $100 $1.36K back +$1.26K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.05K
Volume: $13.74K
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.78
Potential profit: $40.78
User PnL: -$4.51

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.2

PnL: $4K
Volume: $3.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $20.04
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.3

If you invest $100 $408.16 back +$308.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.13

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.98K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $122.5

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $223.9
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $387.2

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.9K
Volume: $32.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $115.3

If you invest $100 $363.64 back +$263.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $8.7K
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $576.94

If you invest $100 $904.98 back +$804.98 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $9.78K
Potential profit: $8.7K
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $576.94

If you invest $100 $904.98 back +$804.98 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $30.34
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $78.07

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $40.95
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $379.05

If you invest $100 $104.06 back +$4.06 estimated profit if it wins

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $19.61

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $939.73
Potential payout: $12.53K
Potential profit: $11.59K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$44.71

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $880.62
Potential payout: $11.74K
Potential profit: $10.86K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$730.43

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

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