Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $13.54K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.95K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$160.52

If you invest $100 $8K back +$7.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $359.99
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.64K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.87K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $330
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $110

If you invest $100 $454.55 back +$354.55 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:29 AM

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.49K
Volume: $3.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.46K
Volume: $14.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $57.62
Potential payout: $58.86
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $25.25

If you invest $100 $102.15 back +$2.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $54.12
Potential payout: $75.16
Potential profit: $21.04
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $9.88

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $14.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $359.99
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.64K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.87K

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $344
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $456
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $16

If you invest $100 $232.56 back +$132.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.32K
Volume: $17.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $45.86
Potential payout: $107.92
Potential profit: $62.05
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $39.41

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $45.1
Potential payout: $53.37
Potential profit: $8.27
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $43.26

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.29K
Volume: $25.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $137.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $37.5

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $97.13
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $53.96

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.28K
Volume: $3.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

OpenAI position

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $12.09
Potential payout: $161.2
Potential profit: $149.11
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.19

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $4.14

If you invest $100 $20K back +$19.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.21K
Volume: $33.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $543.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $73.01

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $937.63
Potential payout: $961.68
Potential profit: $24.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $140.28

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.16K
Volume: $1.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$32.39

If you invest $100 $33.33K back +$33.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$33.32

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.13K
Volume: $8.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $166.74
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $94.25

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $410.46
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $129.24

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.28K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $166.74
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $94.25

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $410.46
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $129.24

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$150.25

If you invest $100 $185.19 back +$85.19 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $543.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $73.01

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $937.63
Potential payout: $961.68
Potential profit: $24.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $140.28

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $875.69
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $536.71
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $579.08

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

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