Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $18.5K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$114.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$114.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$115.36

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 6:36 PM

PnL: $1.96K
Volume: $431.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.83
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.59

If you invest $100 $2.56K back +$2.46K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nick Woltemade win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $1.06

If you invest $100 $292.83 back +$192.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.95K
Volume: $699.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.3

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be at least 4.0%?

Ends Aug 17, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $5.93
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $1.6

If you invest $100 $269.91 back +$169.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.95K
Volume: $5.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$114.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$114.55

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.94K
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $38.82
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$97.33

If you invest $100 $5.41K back +$5.31K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $33.03
Potential payout: $35.14
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $26.23

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.9K
Volume: $157.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $390.57
Potential payout: $45.95K
Potential profit: $45.56K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $31.61

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $390.57
Potential payout: $45.95K
Potential profit: $45.56K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $31.61

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.84K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.71

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.74

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.82K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.93
Potential profit: $30.93
User PnL: -$18.25

Yes position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$66

PnL: $1.81K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75K
Potential profit: $75K
User PnL: -$26.25K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85K
Potential profit: $85K
User PnL: -$58.65K

PnL: $1.68K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.66K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.65K
Volume: $37.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $50.36

If you invest $100 $263.16 back +$163.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $25.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$3.01

If you invest $100 $102.46 back +$2.46 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.61K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $390.57
Potential payout: $45.95K
Potential profit: $45.56K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $31.61

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $390.57
Potential payout: $45.95K
Potential profit: $45.56K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $31.61

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $390.57
Potential payout: $45.95K
Potential profit: $45.56K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $31.61

If you invest $100 $11.76K back +$11.66K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $38.82
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$97.33

If you invest $100 $5.41K back +$5.31K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $33.03
Potential payout: $35.14
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $26.23

If you invest $100 $106.38 back +$6.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $24.56
Potential payout: $893
Potential profit: $868.44
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$82.6

If you invest $100 $3.64K back +$3.54K estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New ZealandICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealand - Who wins the toss? Jul 4, 2026

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealand

Yes69.5% No30.5%

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealand - Who wins the toss?

Yes0.5% No99.5%