Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $36.99K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $100.16K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $389.84K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$144.84K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $389.8K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $100.21K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $144.8K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $33.05K
Potential payout: $57.49K
Potential profit: $24.43K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5.35K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:45 PM

PnL: $21.48K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $29.35K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $863.3
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $152.35
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $863.3

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.56K
Volume: $52.75K
Win rate: 53.8%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 65.9%
Current value: $18.47K
Potential payout: $28.03K
Potential profit: $9.56K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $151.75 back +$51.75 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.2%
Current value: $16.61K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $8.11K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $2.7K

If you invest $100 $148.81 back +$48.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.72K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: $0

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: $0

PnL: $1.41K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $389.8K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $100.21K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $144.8K

If you invest $100 $125.71 back +$25.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $100.16K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $389.84K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$144.84K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.01K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $10.87K
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $724.9
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $856.5

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $150

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $691.08
Volume: $28.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $1.55
User PnL: $89.03

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $153.61
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.93K

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $610.92
Volume: $3.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $98.39K
Potential payout: $102.59K
Potential profit: $4.21K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.34K

If you invest $100 $104.28 back +$4.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $25.65K
Potential payout: $25.71K
Potential profit: $64.29
User PnL: $697.84

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $591.19
Volume: $2.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will a player representing Scotland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $119.88
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.12

If you invest $100 $100.1 back +$0.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will a player representing Ghana be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $119.82
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: -$0.06

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $481.66
Volume: $630.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $140.47
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$723.94

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $107
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $93
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $37

If you invest $100 $186.92 back +$86.92 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $431.58
Volume: $3.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $8.37K
Potential payout: $8.43K
Potential profit: $63.25
User PnL: $21.13

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $15.61K
Potential profit: $8.97K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$390.2

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $391.47
Volume: $958.99
Open positions: 3

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$1.63K

If you invest $100 $293.69 back +$193.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $8.91
User PnL: $119.56

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $374.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $108.15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.33K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $314.71
Potential payout: $511.73
Potential profit: $197.02
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $314.71

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $33.05K
Potential payout: $57.49K
Potential profit: $24.43K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5.35K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $29.35K
Potential payout: $38.88K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $29.35K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $22.68K
Potential payout: $24.19K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $106.05

If you invest $100 $106.67 back +$6.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 65.9%
Current value: $18.47K
Potential payout: $28.03K
Potential profit: $9.56K
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $2.86K

If you invest $100 $151.75 back +$51.75 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.2%
Current value: $16.61K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $8.11K
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $2.7K

If you invest $100 $148.81 back +$48.81 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $150

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

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