Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $6.33K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $25.39K
Potential payout: $153.89K
Potential profit: $128.5K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $12.53K
Potential payout: $91.83K
Potential profit: $79.29K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.58K

If you invest $100 $732.6 back +$632.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $6.66K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $52.57K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $593.73

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 10:21 AM

PnL: $1.2K
Volume: $1.01K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $6.39K
Potential payout: $56.77K
Potential profit: $50.39K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $782.24

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.16K
Potential payout: $20.38K
Potential profit: $17.22K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $807.74

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.15K
Volume: $8.13K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $8.52K
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $6.83K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$336.96

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $6.66K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $52.57K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $593.73

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $794.32
Volume: $8.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $6.51K
Potential payout: $8.92K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $136.99 back +$36.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $103.72

If you invest $100 $190.48 back +$90.48 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $707.71
Volume: $1.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Blue and White in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $50.14
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $58.86
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $45.4

If you invest $100 $217.39 back +$117.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump endorse Religious Zionism in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $45.24
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $63.77
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $40.5

If you invest $100 $240.96 back +$140.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $698.73
Volume: $2.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will DRX Academy Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.33
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: $1.13

If you invest $100 $881.06 back +$781.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Paige Loud be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $214.83
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$7.05

If you invest $100 $4.26K back +$4.16K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $469.08
Volume: $5.24K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $11.27K
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $102.36
User PnL: $2.39K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $362.7
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $18.78K
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.28K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $16.36K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $148.61
User PnL: $2.85K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $351.75
Volume: $5.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $113.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $27.92

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $767.15
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $348.26

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $313.93
Volume: $2.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $299.37
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $92.41

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $464.43
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.86K

If you invest $100 $125 back +$25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $286.37
Volume: $117.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $25.39K
Potential payout: $153.89K
Potential profit: $128.5K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $12.53K
Potential payout: $91.83K
Potential profit: $79.29K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.58K

If you invest $100 $732.6 back +$632.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $283.24
Volume: $5.63K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.17K
Potential payout: $9.24K
Potential profit: $69.29
User PnL: $584.82

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $119.81
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $361.15

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $272.73
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $196.28K
Potential payout: $196.38K
Potential profit: $98.19
User PnL: $93.5K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $12.05K
Potential profit: $445.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $659.72

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $12.05K
Potential profit: $445.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $659.72

If you invest $100 $103.84 back +$3.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $10.55K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.34K

If you invest $100 $120.12 back +$20.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $8.52K
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $6.83K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$336.96

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $7.09K
Potential payout: $7.95K
Potential profit: $854.35
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $273.04

If you invest $100 $112.04 back +$12.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $6.66K
Potential payout: $59.24K
Potential profit: $52.57K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $593.73

If you invest $100 $888.89 back +$788.89 estimated profit if it wins

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