No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $79.95K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.95K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $5.6K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $114.03K
- Potential payout
- $133.37K
- Potential profit
- $19.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.04K
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $6.34K
- Potential payout
- $11.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $699.13
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
balthazar
0x5a21...9318 Public @balthazarpoly
- PnL
- $1.04K
- Volume
- $5.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $10.67K
- Potential payout
- $12.68K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $8.22K
- Potential payout
- $10.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $717.09
Rank #2
sakuralover
0x1695...2842 Public
- PnL
- $913.34
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $6.27K
- Potential payout
- $7.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $5.18K
- Potential payout
- $5.47K
- Potential profit
- $287.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $944.82
Rank #3
cambridgeisaac
0xb51b...b4d9 Public
- PnL
- $648.75
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $17.32K
- Potential payout
- $20.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $824.43
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $13.46K
- Potential payout
- $16.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$62.48
Rank #4
aussietoken
0x2589...6868 Public
- PnL
- $576.8
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $11.01K
- Potential payout
- $12.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $79.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $388.55
Rank #5
0x515e...ec0d
0x515e...ec0d Public
- PnL
- $439.24
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 96%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $3.12K
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $228
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$53.87
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $594.91
- Potential payout
- $595.21
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $45.58
Rank #6
Popopolly
0xc74a...f01b Public @xuan1048784
- PnL
- $435.32
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $24.81K
- Potential payout
- $29.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $18.4K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
Rank #7
0xdamocles
0xf5c4...0926 Public
- PnL
- $434.68
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $114.03K
- Potential payout
- $133.37K
- Potential profit
- $19.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $7.04K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $42K
- Potential payout
- $44.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.38K
Rank #8
cqk
0x7365...64da Public
- PnL
- $419.96
- Volume
- $694.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $6.34K
- Potential payout
- $11.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $699.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $3.54K
- Potential payout
- $5.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$345.42
Rank #9
Waterfall
0x6385...93f2 Public @911Waterfall
- PnL
- $349.28
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $5.36K
- Potential payout
- $7.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $3.56K
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $910.31
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Rank #10
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $339.12
- Volume
- $3.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $257.06K
- Potential profit
- $255.39K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $128.53
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $234.32K
- Potential profit
- $233.03K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$117.16
Rank #11
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $332.86
- Volume
- $3.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $79.95K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $20.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $29.95K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $58.81K
- Potential payout
- $61.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.88K
Rank #12
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b67...b814 Public
- PnL
- $308.56
- Volume
- $2.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $7.73K
- Potential payout
- $9.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.43K
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $6.1K
- Potential payout
- $7.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $166.36
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $42K
- Potential payout
- $44.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.38K
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $36.45K
- Potential payout
- $38.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $24.81K
- Potential payout
- $29.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $18.4K
- Potential payout
- $23K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $17.32K
- Potential payout
- $20.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $824.43
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $13.46K
- Potential payout
- $16.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$62.48
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