Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $7.77K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.53K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.48K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $3.02K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $23.75K
Potential profit: $20.96K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $485.31

If you invest $100 $851.06 back +$751.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $98.44K
Potential payout: $102.59K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:34 PM

PnL: $2.85K
Volume: $97.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.61K
Potential payout: $9.76K
Potential profit: $4.15K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $731.83

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $366.88

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.1K
Volume: $27.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $23.75K
Potential profit: $20.96K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $485.31

If you invest $100 $851.06 back +$751.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$577.77

If you invest $100 $253.16 back +$153.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $940.88
Volume: $35.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $35.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.89K

If you invest $100 $101.78 back +$1.78 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $11.45
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $553.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $25.7K
Potential payout: $28.03K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $10.09K

If you invest $100 $109.05 back +$9.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $23.13K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.22K

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $462.04
Volume: $3.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $98.44K
Potential payout: $102.59K
Potential profit: $4.16K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $25.65K
Potential payout: $25.71K
Potential profit: $64.29
User PnL: $697.84

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $425.73
Volume: $14.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.32
Multiplier: 4.27x
User PnL: $3.97

If you invest $100 $427.35 back +$327.35 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Dan Goldman win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by any margin?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $596.7
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$96.7

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $420.09
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.53K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.48K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $3.02K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $7.03K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.59K

If you invest $100 $128.37 back +$28.37 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $398.81
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $1.36K
Potential payout: $16.28K
Potential profit: $14.92K
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $351.47

If you invest $100 $1.2K back +$1.1K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $115.99
Potential profit: $58
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$23.15

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $316.08
Volume: $3.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $137.69K
Potential payout: $137.89K
Potential profit: $206.84
User PnL: $344.73

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $118.98K
Potential payout: $120K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$359.76

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $302.23
Volume: $0
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $865.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $871.02
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $197.85
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $328.3

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $276.99
Volume: $498.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $217.89
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.7K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $67.97
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.13K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $254.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $117.61
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.21K

If you invest $100 $106.5 back +$6.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $3.36
User PnL: $738.77

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $23.13K
Potential payout: $24.72K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.22K

If you invest $100 $106.89 back +$6.89 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $7.79K
Potential payout: $8.66K
Potential profit: $865.8
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $111.11 back +$11.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.53K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $42.48K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $3.02K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $7.03K
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.59K

If you invest $100 $128.37 back +$28.37 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.61K
Potential payout: $9.76K
Potential profit: $4.15K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $731.83

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.77K
Potential payout: $5.33K
Potential profit: $562.59
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $785.92

If you invest $100 $111.79 back +$11.79 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes16.5% No83.5%

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Yes2.9% No97.1%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes62% No38%

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Yes83.5% No16.5%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes37.4% No62.7%