Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $992.54
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.16K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $944.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$55.55
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $892.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$536.55
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
da4c07
0x81ca...3b87 Public
- PnL
- $309.54
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44.9%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $368.96
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 5.65x
- User PnL
- $175.78
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $160.2
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$12.85
Rank #2
gotaluism
0x3466...ea7a Public
- PnL
- $180.04
- Volume
- $1.31
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $472.09
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $22.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $470.29
- Potential payout
- $511.19
- Potential profit
- $40.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $66.45
Rank #3
sand1
0x34d0...264e Public
- PnL
- $145.25
- Volume
- $799
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $758.65
- Potential payout
- $799.84
- Potential profit
- $41.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $341.54
- Potential payout
- $415
- Potential profit
- $73.46
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $227.34
Rank #4
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $84.29
- Volume
- $1.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.17K
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $14.64
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #5
Banditoxaxa
0xe7fe...24e5 Public
- PnL
- $80.79
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $164.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $712.26
Y
Yes position
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $250.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $134.49
Rank #6
yangzhe1991
0x636d...6a8f Public
- PnL
- $76.74
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $98.61
- Potential payout
- $741.46
- Potential profit
- $642.85
- Multiplier
- 7.52x
- User PnL
- -$51.38
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
Rank #7
Delta141
0x7c4e...6cad Public
- PnL
- $75.54
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $273.97
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $95.89
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $992.54
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Rank #8
Annihilation
0xd416...d9e2 Public
- PnL
- $71.32
- Volume
- $1.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $410.54
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $285.83
No position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $952.32
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $148.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$12.38
Rank #9
jam516
0x4e8d...3b13 Public
- PnL
- $69.86
- Volume
- $90
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $294.5
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $44.18
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $990.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- User PnL
- $280.5
Rank #10
laseptimalavencida
0x7bc5...4626 Public @MarquezIsa58750
- PnL
- $67.8
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $502.47
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $37.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $106.2
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $493.8
- Multiplier
- 5.65x
- User PnL
- $73.7
Rank #11
SingletonFamilyFund
0x4c4e...297b Public
- PnL
- $67.67
- Volume
- $238.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $281.44
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $892.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$536.55
Rank #12
PavtheGreat
0x048a...9be4 Public
- PnL
- $63.2
- Volume
- $700
- Win rate
- 79.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $67.19
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $23.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $108.9
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $892.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$536.55
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $294.5
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $44.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $67.19
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $273.97
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $95.89
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $23.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $108.9
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $164.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $712.26
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Inflation Live
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? Jan 10, 2027
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Yes6.1% No93.9%
Market NFL Live
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Dec 31, 2026
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes86% No14%
Market NFL Live
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Dec 31, 2026
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes2.6% No97.5%
Market Inflation Live
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? Dec 31, 2026
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes9.5% No90.5%
Market NFL Live
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Dec 31, 2026
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes86.5% No13.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%? Jan 19, 2027
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Yes3.7% No96.4%
Market NFL Live
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Dec 31, 2026
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes82.5% No17.5%
Market Live
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes28.5% No71.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Yes3.8% No96.2%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Yes19.5% No80.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Yes5% No95%