Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $965.56
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$34.43
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.32K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $944.44
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$55.55
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $828.23
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #1
da4c07
0x81ca...3b87 Public
- PnL
- $490.4
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 44.9%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $828.23
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $189.65
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- $16.6
Rank #2
gotaluism
0x3466...ea7a Public
- PnL
- $172.55
- Volume
- $1.31
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $996.63
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $502.06
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$7.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $470.29
- Potential payout
- $511.19
- Potential profit
- $40.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $66.45
Rank #3
laseptimalavencida
0x7bc5...4626 Public @MarquezIsa58750
- PnL
- $124.2
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Dan Schwartz be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $502.47
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $37.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $294
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $306
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $261.5
Rank #4
sand1
0x34d0...264e Public
- PnL
- $108.04
- Volume
- $784
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $766.65
- Potential payout
- $799.84
- Potential profit
- $33.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $204
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $196
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $102.2
Rank #5
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $98.66
- Volume
- $1.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $4.17K
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $14.64
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #6
Banditoxaxa
0xe7fe...24e5 Public
- PnL
- $74.19
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $152.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $724.46
Y
Yes position
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $250.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $134.49
Rank #7
yangzhe1991
0x636d...6a8f Public
- PnL
- $70.44
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $89.35
- Potential payout
- $741.46
- Potential profit
- $652.11
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$60.65
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
Rank #8
jam516
0x4e8d...3b13 Public
- PnL
- $63.49
- Volume
- $90
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $217
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $121.68
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $990.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- User PnL
- $280.5
Rank #9
SingletonFamilyFund
0x4c4e...297b Public
- PnL
- $59.93
- Volume
- $238.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $281.44
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $870.22
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$514.52
Rank #10
PavtheGreat
0x048a...9be4 Public
- PnL
- $57.95
- Volume
- $700
- Win rate
- 79.5%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $93.81
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $68.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $28.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $103.4
Rank #11
Delta141
0x7c4e...6cad Public
- PnL
- $56.65
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $280.82
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $89.04
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $965.56
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$34.43
Rank #12
kl1v
0x5999...ae94 Public
- PnL
- $53.27
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $248.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $163.65
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $939.44
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $116.11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$29.04
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $217
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $121.68
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $870.22
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$514.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $93.81
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $68.39
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $280.82
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $89.04
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $28.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $103.4
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $152.58
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $724.46
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Yes52% No48%
Market Live
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Yes79% No21%
Market Live
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes88.4% No11.7%
Market Live
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes6.5% No93.6%
Market Live
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Yes8% No92%
Market Live
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Yes25% No75%
Market Live
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes15.5% No84.5%
Market Live
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes4.4% No95.7%
Market Live
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Yes56% No44%
Market Live
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Live
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Yes5.7% No94.4%
Market Live
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Yes79.7% No20.3%