Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.15K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $15.62K
Potential profit: $14.17K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $296.46

If you invest $100 $1.08K back +$981.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $15.88K
Potential profit: $14.29K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$4.35K

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $394.48
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 7.72x
User PnL: $246.22

If you invest $100 $772.2 back +$672.2 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 9:26 AM

PnL: $143.22
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $137.94
Volume: $1.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $963.2
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $218.79
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $963.2

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $830.77
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $188.71
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $830.77

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $137.16
Volume: $336.84
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $121.54
Volume: $2.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $429.83
Potential payout: $573.11
Potential profit: $143.28
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $75.43

If you invest $100 $133.33 back +$33.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $426.47
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$129.49

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $111.45
Volume: $5.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $15.88K
Potential profit: $14.29K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$4.35K

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $981.15
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $623.84

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $107.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $185
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $151.67

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $171
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $71

If you invest $100 $116.96 back +$16.96 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $107.72
Volume: $2.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.28K
Potential payout: $15.18K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.05K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $13.1K
Potential payout: $13.24K
Potential profit: $139.02
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $117.45

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $101.47
Volume: $123.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $341.71
Potential payout: $365.46
Potential profit: $23.75
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $239.28

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $223.49
Potential payout: $7.33K
Potential profit: $7.1K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$948.69

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $93.91
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $87.24
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $966.08
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $101.41
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $306.86

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $749.31
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$380.82

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $83.46
Volume: $1.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $100.77
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $5.2K
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $62.17

If you invest $100 $5.26K back +$5.16K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $91.41
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.21K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$6.42

If you invest $100 $6.9K back +$6.8K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $79.48
Volume: $178.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $346.94
Potential payout: $407.93
Potential profit: $60.98
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$3.06

If you invest $100 $117.58 back +$17.58 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $330.2
Potential payout: $334.72
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $67.95

If you invest $100 $101.37 back +$1.37 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $15.88K
Potential profit: $14.29K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$4.35K

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $2.48K
Potential profit: $981.15
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $623.84

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $15.62K
Potential profit: $14.17K
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $296.46

If you invest $100 $1.08K back +$981.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $966.08
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $101.41
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $306.86

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $963.2
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $218.79
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $963.2

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $830.77
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $188.71
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $830.77

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

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