Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.56K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.6%
Current value: $832.38
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $113.89

If you invest $100 $376.65 back +$276.65 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $20.41K
Potential payout: $24.08K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$875.53

If you invest $100 $117.99 back +$17.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $15.33K
Potential payout: $18.82K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.74K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 10:18 PM

PnL: $469.81
Volume: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$373.43

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$259.95

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $442.5
Volume: $1.56K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.2%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $1.5

If you invest $100 $134.77 back +$34.77 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.52

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $399.28
Volume: $6.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $457.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $27.5

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $409.14
Potential payout: $521.2
Potential profit: $112.06
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $51.86

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $366.93
Volume: $199.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $845
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $155
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$35

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.6%
Current value: $832.38
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $113.89

If you invest $100 $376.65 back +$276.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $361.77
Volume: $5.63K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$323.43

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$28.78

PnL: $340.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $307.33
Volume: $1.5K
Win rate: 98%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $294.57
Volume: $7.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $324.68
Potential payout: $481
Potential profit: $156.33
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $218.86

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $317.85
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $881.59
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $111.94

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $293.15
Volume: $11.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $300.44
Potential payout: $715.33
Potential profit: $414.89
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$10.3

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $235.63
Potential payout: $272.4
Potential profit: $36.77
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $65.61

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $286.69
Volume: $446.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$147.5

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $742
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $11.9

If you invest $100 $1.38K back +$1.28K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $285.01
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $5.58K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $419.98
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $214.48

If you invest $100 $107.53 back +$7.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $504
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$5.56

If you invest $100 $109.17 back +$9.17 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $282.84
Volume: $16.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $20.41K
Potential payout: $24.08K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$875.53

If you invest $100 $117.99 back +$17.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $15.33K
Potential payout: $18.82K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.74K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.6%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $504
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$5.56

If you invest $100 $109.17 back +$9.17 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $2.92K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $11.58

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$373.43

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$259.95

If you invest $100 $181.82 back +$81.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$1.2K

If you invest $100 $208.33 back +$108.33 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $845
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $155
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$35

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

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