Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $215.18 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $343.5
Potential payout: $98.14K
Potential profit: $97.8K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$514.27

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $127.78
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $6.97K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$744.6

If you invest $100 $5.56K back +$5.46K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $134.92
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $989.4
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$50.37

If you invest $100 $833.33 back +$733.33 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:57 AM

PnL: $26.99
Volume: $328.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $14.06K
Potential payout: $15.66K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.28K
Potential payout: $15.18K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.05K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $26.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $451.53
Potential payout: $453.8
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: $10.44

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $357.49
Potential payout: $362.2
Potential profit: $4.71
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $150.33

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $25.74
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $127.78
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $6.97K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$744.6

If you invest $100 $5.56K back +$5.46K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $63
Potential payout: $741.17
Potential profit: $678.17
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$365.5

If you invest $100 $1.18K back +$1.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.66
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $3.02
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.75

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Austin Reaves play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $122.33
Potential profit: $120.25
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$1.63

If you invest $100 $5.88K back +$5.78K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.14
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $100.65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $709.36

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $176.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $38.37

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Ben Pasternak jailed?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $126.41
Potential profit: $121.42
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$5.75

If you invest $100 $2.53K back +$2.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $22.95
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $2.16

If you invest $100 $666.67 back +$566.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.9
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.1%
Current value: $79.35
Potential payout: $129.98
Potential profit: $50.63
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$6.43

If you invest $100 $163.8 back +$63.8 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $10

If you invest $100 $153.85 back +$53.85 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.3
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.59K
Potential profit: $115.39
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $451.4

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $766.05
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$61.94

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $17.52
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $364.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $535.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$26.5

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $343.5
Potential payout: $98.14K
Potential profit: $97.8K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$514.27

If you invest $100 $28.57K back +$28.47K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.64
Volume: $0
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $39.45
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$1.01K

If you invest $100 $3.33K back +$3.23K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $23.39
Potential payout: $23.48
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $13.76

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.05
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

$60 position

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $164.17
Potential payout: $187.41
Potential profit: $23.24
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $25.49

If you invest $100 $114.16 back +$14.16 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $134.92
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $989.4
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$50.37

If you invest $100 $833.33 back +$733.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.91
Volume: $0
Win rate: 41.5%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $100.65
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $709.36

If you invest $100 $102.56 back +$2.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $176.09
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $38.37

If you invest $100 $104.66 back +$4.66 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $3.74K
Potential payout: $5.39K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $624.61

If you invest $100 $143.91 back +$43.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $766.05
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$61.94

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.08K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $97.83
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $76.09

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $364.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $535.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$26.5

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.