Yes position
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $45.62
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$607.82
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.02K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $40.9
- Potential payout
- $908.85
- Potential profit
- $867.95
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $38.89
- Potential payout
- $555.64
- Potential profit
- $516.75
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$25.59
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #25
BikesAreTheBikes
0x215a...254c Public
- PnL
- $122.5
- Volume
- $122.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $41.95
- Potential payout
- $152.55
- Potential profit
- $110.6
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$26.6
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $40.9
- Potential payout
- $908.85
- Potential profit
- $867.95
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $7.21
Rank #26
graynotebook19
0xcfff...673d Public
- PnL
- $114.13
- Volume
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $6.33K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$126.03
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $6.33K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$126.03
Rank #27
0x6B7C45B6af364cC4Bb3494C3B93894165dE47677-1773763321805
0x6b7c...7677 Public
- PnL
- $108.81
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #28
molodoyy
0x564f...7026 Public @romanov23731
- PnL
- $102.11
- Volume
- $122.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $166.11
- Potential payout
- $949.19
- Potential profit
- $783.08
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $94.65
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $162.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $65
Rank #29
Golanido
0xa8f8...0e46 Public
- PnL
- $101.45
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$389.95
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Rank #30
Poivre
0x714f...66d5 Public
- PnL
- $97.74
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $150.25
- Potential payout
- $353.53
- Potential profit
- $203.28
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$17.57
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $150.08
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$106.83
Rank #31
taerv534
0x30f9...fbfc Public
- PnL
- $94.33
- Volume
- $218
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $104.73
- Potential payout
- $140.58
- Potential profit
- $35.85
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $104.62
- Potential payout
- $114.34
- Potential profit
- $9.72
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.71
Rank #32
0x4935...dfda
0x4935...dfda Public
- PnL
- $92.51
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $30.71
- Potential payout
- $367.82
- Potential profit
- $337.11
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$13.43
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.82
- Potential payout
- $29.82
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.75
Rank #33
zthunderfury
0xc682...17bb Public @zthunderfury
- PnL
- $92.45
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $207.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $292.5
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $164.09
- Potential payout
- $203.84
- Potential profit
- $39.75
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Rank #34
dzP3
0x2688...cb00 Public
- PnL
- $90.98
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $48.55
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14
Salesforce position
Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $124.02
- Potential profit
- $76.27
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$20.76
Rank #35
reasoningTokens
0xd0d9...9074 Public
- PnL
- $86.92
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 5.3%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Rank #36
ANTINY46
0x8fbd...0b14 Public
- PnL
- $86.56
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $162.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $155.44
- Potential payout
- $215.89
- Potential profit
- $60.45
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $74.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $150.25
- Potential payout
- $353.53
- Potential profit
- $203.28
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$17.57
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $150.08
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$106.83
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $148.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $151.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $19.73
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $104.73
- Potential payout
- $140.58
- Potential profit
- $35.85
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.6
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