Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $738.13 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $41.16
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $17.91

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $176.12
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$72.66

If you invest $100 $1.34K back +$1.24K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $504.45
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 6.94x
User PnL: -$129.89

If you invest $100 $694.44 back +$594.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 12:00 PM

PnL: $86.05
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $73.02
Potential payout: $133.98
Potential profit: $60.96
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$50.51

If you invest $100 $183.49 back +$83.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $57.85
Potential payout: $241.03
Potential profit: $183.18
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $12.5

If you invest $100 $416.67 back +$316.67 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $81.32
Volume: $280
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$215.61

PnL: $76.79
Volume: $5.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $505.97
Potential payout: $767.21
Potential profit: $261.24
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$25.35

If you invest $100 $151.63 back +$51.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $505.74
Potential payout: $636.15
Potential profit: $130.41
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$47.07

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $76.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20.38

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

PnL: $75.21
Volume: $13.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $5.19K
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $472.92
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $483.61

If you invest $100 $109.11 back +$9.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $4.86K
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $81.59
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $259.45

If you invest $100 $101.68 back +$1.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $71.82
Volume: $1.81K
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $41.77
Potential payout: $64.76
Potential profit: $22.99
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $39.46

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $41.16
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $17.91

If you invest $100 $3.39K back +$3.29K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $70.08
Volume: $1.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $176.12
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$72.66

If you invest $100 $1.34K back +$1.24K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $172.45
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $327.55
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $172.45

If you invest $100 $289.94 back +$189.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $67.25
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $304.08
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: -$148.03

If you invest $100 $510.2 back +$410.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $300
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $900
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$33

If you invest $100 $400 back +$300 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $66.77
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $66.73
Volume: $948.61
Open positions: 1

PnL: $65.29
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $29.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$1.6

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $26.64
Potential payout: $32.69
Potential profit: $6.05
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $6.37

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $64.45
Volume: $1.57K
Win rate: 48%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $505.97
Potential payout: $767.21
Potential profit: $261.24
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$25.35

If you invest $100 $151.63 back +$51.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $505.74
Potential payout: $636.15
Potential profit: $130.41
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$47.07

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $504.45
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 6.94x
User PnL: -$129.89

If you invest $100 $694.44 back +$594.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $304.08
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: -$148.03

If you invest $100 $510.2 back +$410.2 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $300
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $900
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$33

If you invest $100 $400 back +$300 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $281.01
Potential payout: $303.79
Potential profit: $22.78
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $31.9

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

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