Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $8.39K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $385.58
Potential profit: $381.33
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $0.95

If you invest $100 $9.09K back +$8.99K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $10.21K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$153.1

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $97.65
Potential payout: $382.95
Potential profit: $285.3
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $30.14

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

WEATHER leaderboard

Updated 10:02 PM

PnL: $1.03K
Volume: $27.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $10.77
Potential payout: $10.9
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.09

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $1

If you invest $100 $188.68 back +$88.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $940.01
Volume: $3.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$8.76

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

PnL: $908.04
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $902.64
Volume: $12.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.05
Potential profit: $78.05
User PnL: -$0.16

PnL: $874.33
Volume: $23.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $97.65
Potential payout: $382.95
Potential profit: $285.3
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $30.14

If you invest $100 $392.16 back +$292.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $95.5
Potential payout: $140.45
Potential profit: $44.94
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$1.42

If you invest $100 $147.06 back +$47.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $774.5
Volume: $9.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $118.31
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.12

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $98.19
Potential payout: $98.24
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.62

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $769.1
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.31K
Potential profit: $175.31K
User PnL: -$36.82K

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.15K
Potential profit: $428.15K
User PnL: -$205.51K

PnL: $750.46
Volume: $30.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $218.88
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $132.87

If you invest $100 $114.61 back +$14.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $481.3
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $122.52

If you invest $100 $133.42 back +$33.42 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $725.51
Volume: $17.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.23
Potential profit: $227.23
User PnL: -$10.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.86
Potential profit: $50.86
User PnL: -$4.78

PnL: $718.16
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.78K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $220
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $60

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.7K
Potential payout: $10.21K
Potential profit: $7.5K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$153.1

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $715.69
Volume: $8.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $362
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $314.97
Potential payout: $317.83
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: $60.24

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $700
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.98K
User PnL: -$1.91K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.86K
Potential profit: $227.86K
User PnL: -$75.44K

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $218.88
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $132.87

If you invest $100 $114.61 back +$14.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $481.3
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $122.52

If you invest $100 $133.42 back +$33.42 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $97.98
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $6.58

If you invest $100 $106.84 back +$6.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $362
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $306
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $94
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$42

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $118.31
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.12

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

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