Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.82
- Potential profit
- $65.82
- User PnL
- -$13
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Top 10 PnL on this page $778.73 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
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Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.37
- Potential profit
- $27.37
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.82
- Potential profit
- $23.82
- User PnL
- -$3
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #229
zdw
0xe39c...4c0b Public
- PnL
- $80.21
- Volume
- $888.81
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #230
polibo
0xbf0c...c7f6 Public @poliboinsights
- PnL
- $79.95
- Volume
- $573.31
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.82
- Potential profit
- $65.82
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.37
- Potential profit
- $27.37
- User PnL
- -$1
Rank #231
0xf4179aF858e6dc28D0914c3f9B53F8C1266cB1BE-1779650481431
0xf417...b1be Public
- PnL
- $79.81
- Volume
- $5.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #232
travaler
0x1fd2...b7f8 Public @travaler5
- PnL
- $79.53
- Volume
- $1.64K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #233
BibilabuHK
0xe27c...5da2 Public
- PnL
- $78.88
- Volume
- $482.93
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #234
altameta
0x4269...e056 Public
- PnL
- $76.83
- Volume
- $1.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #235
opentrading
0x2b8c...4406 Public
- PnL
- $76.69
- Volume
- $5.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #236
Beavis-ITGuy
0x7b8f...3b86 Public
- PnL
- $75.96
- Volume
- $100
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #237
NikoGamauf22
0xf65e...7cac Public
- PnL
- $75.54
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #238
Prism1.1
0xba44...7d2c Public
- PnL
- $75.32
- Volume
- $2.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #239
aMartBot
0xb3eb...b529 Public @Polymartapp
- PnL
- $73.95
- Volume
- $1.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #240
FiatPunto
0x3c7e...401e Public
- PnL
- $73.47
- Volume
- $1.58K
- Open positions
- 1
Market Context
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Market Live
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes10.6% No89.5%
Market Live
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Yes20.5% No79.5%
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Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes24.5% No75.5%
Market Live
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes15.5% No84.5%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes47% No53%
Market Live
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes11.4% No88.7%
Market Live
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes69.5% No30.5%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Yes22.6% No77.4%
Market Live
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes8.1% No92%
Market Live
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes5.5% No94.5%
Market Live
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes3% No97%
Market Live
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes12.5% No87.5%