Yes position
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $99.05 WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $79.07
- Potential profit
- $77.69
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #253
y6j4m4vspmrz
0x97f1...a523 Public
- PnL
- $10.01
- Volume
- $18.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #254
Marian-Pazdzioch
0xd119...ebdd Public
- PnL
- $9.98
- Volume
- $695.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #255
pekkaout
0x2aa9...dc4d Public
- PnL
- $9.98
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #256
tempusername12
0x902b...286c Public
- PnL
- $9.97
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #257
0183648392
0xf7a4...f148 Public
- PnL
- $9.96
- Volume
- $600
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$54.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$34.38
Rank #258
hoodmaster
0xa235...2472 Public
- PnL
- $9.92
- Volume
- $150.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #259
vip68
0x8d09...143f Public
- PnL
- $9.92
- Volume
- $1.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #260
YellowBag
0x13bd...a84f Public
- PnL
- $9.83
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #261
0x47e6...6505
0x47e6...6505 Public
- PnL
- $9.78
- Volume
- $20
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #262
GeniusTrader
0x164c...3e39 Public
- PnL
- $9.7
- Volume
- $105.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #263
meteoguru
0x3887...9496 Public
- PnL
- $9.7
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #264
qqqppp-l1
0x229c...b966 Public
- PnL
- $9.63
- Volume
- $15.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $79.07
- Potential profit
- $77.69
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$54.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$34.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168
- Potential profit
- $168
- User PnL
- -$85.46
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes10.6% No89.4%
Market Live
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Yes20.5% No79.5%
Market Live
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes24.5% No75.5%
Market Live
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes15.5% No84.5%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes47% No53%
Market Live
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes11.3% No88.8%
Market Live
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes69.5% No30.5%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Yes22.6% No77.4%
Market Live
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes8.1% No91.9%
Market Live
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes5.5% No94.5%
Market Live
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes3% No97%
Market Live
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes12.5% No87.5%