Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.31K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $155.46K
Potential payout: $2.61M
Potential profit: $2.46M
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $81.32K

If you invest $100 $1.68K back +$1.58K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $203.01K
Potential payout: $621.77K
Potential profit: $418.76K
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $42.74K

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $626.17K
Potential payout: $669.7K
Potential profit: $43.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.07K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 8:51 AM

PnL: $3.53K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.7%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.33K
Multiplier: 3.75x
User PnL: $2.35K

If you invest $100 $374.53 back +$274.53 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: $1.71K

If you invest $100 $510.2 back +$410.2 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $10.56K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $309.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $4.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $13.04K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $996.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.49

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $10.38K
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $540.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $417.36

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $590.06
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $4.66K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $1.92K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.11K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $98.89K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.48K

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $524.86
Volume: $6.76K
Win rate: 96%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $487.3

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $422.69
Volume: $506.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $528.37

If you invest $100 $134.41 back +$34.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: $73.85

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $333.64
Volume: $146.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $39.98K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $10.03K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $14.98K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $10.03K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $39.98K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$14.98K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $332.96
Volume: $66.19K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $626.17K
Potential payout: $669.7K
Potential profit: $43.53K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.07K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $242.72
Potential payout: $252.96
Potential profit: $10.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.66

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $325.44
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Gone Girl" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $489
Potential profit: $468.95
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: $15.16

If you invest $100 $2.44K back +$2.34K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Homecoming" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $489
Potential profit: $474.09
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $10.02

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $300.56
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.2%
Current value: $474.33
Potential payout: $656.97
Potential profit: $182.64
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$180.67

If you invest $100 $138.5 back +$38.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281
Potential profit: $281
User PnL: -$140.5

PnL: $300
Volume: $0
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $8.52K
Potential payout: $20.05K
Potential profit: $11.53K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $4.51K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $8.32K
Potential payout: $8.71K
Potential profit: $392.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.18K

If you invest $100 $104.71 back +$4.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $299.65
Volume: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $203.01K
Potential payout: $621.77K
Potential profit: $418.76K
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $42.74K

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $155.46K
Potential payout: $2.61M
Potential profit: $2.46M
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $81.32K

If you invest $100 $1.68K back +$1.58K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $131.44K
Potential payout: $167.44K
Potential profit: $36K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$1.95K

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $39.98K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $10.03K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $14.98K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $13.04K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $996.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.49

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $10.56K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $309.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.01K

If you invest $100 $102.93 back +$2.93 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $10.38K
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $540.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $417.36

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $10.03K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $39.98K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$14.98K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

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