Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $9.02K CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.11K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $98.89K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.48K

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $518.37K
Potential payout: $554.41K
Potential profit: $36.04K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.58K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.81K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $26.2K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $3.61K

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 7:51 AM

PnL: $3.56K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.4%
Current value: $2.64K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.36K
Multiplier: 3.79x
User PnL: $2.32K

If you invest $100 $378.79 back +$278.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $2.11K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $8.78K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.68K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.65K
Potential payout: $10.87K
Potential profit: $217.41
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.1K

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.09K
Volume: $4.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $13.04K
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $996.4
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.49

If you invest $100 $107.64 back +$7.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $10.38K
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $540.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $417.36

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $666.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $453.3
Volume: $506.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $1.8K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $528.37

If you invest $100 $134.41 back +$34.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $9.69
User PnL: $73.85

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $420.04
Volume: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.37K
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $4.66K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $1.92K

If you invest $100 $238.1 back +$138.1 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.11K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $98.89K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.48K

If you invest $100 $3.28K back +$3.18K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $401.2
Volume: $1.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $178.48
Potential payout: $489
Potential profit: $310.52
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $173.59

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Homecoming" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $61.13
Potential payout: $489
Potential profit: $427.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $56.24

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $354.45
Volume: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $114.86
Potential payout: $137.56
Potential profit: $22.7
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $50.14

If you invest $100 $119.76 back +$19.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Joao Cancelo join Juventus?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $49

If you invest $100 $200 back +$100 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $287.65
Volume: $57.17K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $518.37K
Potential payout: $554.41K
Potential profit: $36.04K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $8.58K

If you invest $100 $106.95 back +$6.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $242.72
Potential payout: $252.96
Potential profit: $10.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.66

If you invest $100 $104.22 back +$4.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $272.87
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.37K
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.15K

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.1%
Current value: $719.65
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $445.65

If you invest $100 $255.75 back +$155.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $261.39
Volume: $29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.66K
Potential payout: $9.2K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.29K

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $4.74K
Potential payout: $18.52K
Potential profit: $13.78K
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $806.79

If you invest $100 $390.63 back +$290.63 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $253.89
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.4%
Current value: $357.83
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $997.59
Multiplier: 3.79x
User PnL: $307.83

If you invest $100 $378.79 back +$278.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $303.51
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $761.82
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$22.55

If you invest $100 $351 back +$251 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $10.38K
Potential payout: $10.92K
Potential profit: $540.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $417.36

If you invest $100 $105.21 back +$5.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $9.81K
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $440.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $206.53

If you invest $100 $104.49 back +$4.49 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $7.68K
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.39K

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $7.11K
Potential payout: $7.22K
Potential profit: $108.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $925.97

If you invest $100 $101.52 back +$1.52 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $25.27K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $4.54K

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

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