Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $671.57 CULTURE · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $257.71
Potential profit: $252.68
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $2.59

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $305.67
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$50.15

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $228.23
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $912.91
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$233.34

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

CULTURE leaderboard

Updated 7:44 AM

PnL: $71.56
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $70.53
Volume: $30
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.1

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.86

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $69.26
Volume: $8.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $75

If you invest $100 $102.67 back +$2.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $56.09
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $331.32

If you invest $100 $102.88 back +$2.88 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $68.9
Volume: $400.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $419.72
Potential profit: $418.67
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.4%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.22

If you invest $100 $142.15 back +$42.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $67.24
Volume: $9.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$236.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$125.72

PnL: $66.48
Volume: $550
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $66.43
Volume: $372.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Ends Sep 25, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $96.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $19.8

If you invest $100 $103.31 back +$3.31 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $94.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.5

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $65.03
Volume: $5.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $464.67
Potential payout: $517.73
Potential profit: $53.07
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$13.13

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $461.53
Potential payout: $546.19
Potential profit: $84.66
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$24.14

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $64.08
Volume: $80.49
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $257.71
Potential profit: $252.68
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $2.59

If you invest $100 $5.13K back +$5.03K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.02

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $62.07
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $228.23
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $912.91
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$233.34

If you invest $100 $500 back +$400 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $219.78
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.11

If you invest $100 $101.01 back +$1.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $60.35
Volume: $2.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $306.62
Potential payout: $411.57
Potential profit: $104.95
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $38.15

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $305.67
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$50.15

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $60
Volume: $819.26
Win rate: 56%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $464.67
Potential payout: $517.73
Potential profit: $53.07
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$13.13

If you invest $100 $111.42 back +$11.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $461.53
Potential payout: $546.19
Potential profit: $84.66
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$24.14

If you invest $100 $118.34 back +$18.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $458.66
Potential payout: $468.02
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.15

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $306.62
Potential payout: $411.57
Potential profit: $104.95
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $38.15

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $305.67
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$50.15

If you invest $100 $485.44 back +$385.44 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $304.17
Potential payout: $335.73
Potential profit: $31.56
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $41.52

If you invest $100 $110.38 back +$10.38 estimated profit if it wins

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