Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $145.72K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $29.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $170.7K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $12.2K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:44 PM

PnL: $22.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $202.22K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.68K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $114.68 back +$14.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.05K
Volume: $717.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $341.13K
Potential payout: $440.17K
Potential profit: $99.04K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.71K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.54K
Volume: $12.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $15.28K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.63K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.31K

If you invest $100 $267.74 back +$167.74 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: $5.01

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $17.43K
Volume: $340.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $6.9K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $900.01

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.79K
Potential payout: $4.93K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $320.06

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.05K
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $50.75K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $27.93K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $6.64K

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.48K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $323.7
User PnL: $7.27K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.84K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.16K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.4K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $52.13K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $341.04
User PnL: $6.19K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.81K
Volume: $54.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $220.71K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $331.56
User PnL: $2.62K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $186.37K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $279.97
User PnL: $3.13K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.83K
Volume: $2.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $10.87K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $4.12K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $975.31

If you invest $100 $137.93 back +$37.93 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $6.35K
Volume: $4.65K
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $226.66K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.65K

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $211.84K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.25K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.77K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $635.54K
Potential payout: $641.64K
Potential profit: $6.1K
User PnL: $33K

If you invest $100 $100.96 back +$0.96 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $38.7K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $161.3K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $6.4K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.47K
Volume: $65.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $154.6K
Potential payout: $155.61K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $12.79K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $228.16K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.4K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $226.66K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $3.92K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.65K

If you invest $100 $101.73 back +$1.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $211.84K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.25K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $203.42K
Potential payout: $208.32K
Potential profit: $4.9K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $26.41K

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.2%
Current value: $202.22K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.68K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.19K

If you invest $100 $114.68 back +$14.68 estimated profit if it wins

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