Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $296.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $1.71M
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $125.53K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $66.7K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $74.98K
- Potential payout
- $549.29K
- Potential profit
- $474.31K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.37K
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $55.74K
- Potential payout
- $412.91K
- Potential profit
- $357.17K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.05K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $15.48K
- Volume
- $438.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $389.41
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $5.73K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$701.33
Rank #2
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a...00f2 Public
- PnL
- $7.61K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $296.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $1.71M
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $125.53K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $74.98K
- Potential payout
- $549.29K
- Potential profit
- $474.31K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.37K
Rank #3
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $6.82K
- Volume
- $135.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $630.33K
- Potential payout
- $631.28K
- Potential profit
- $946.92
- User PnL
- $51.02K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $627.64K
- Potential payout
- $628.58K
- Potential profit
- $942.87
- User PnL
- $80.07K
Rank #4
My-name-Soloway
0xc810...2e98 Public
- PnL
- $6.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $34.73K
- Potential payout
- $302.04K
- Potential profit
- $267.3K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $100.58
Rank #5
e46m3
0x4f1d...8de2 Public @love_u_4ever
- PnL
- $5.88K
- Volume
- $25.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Under position
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $603.04
- Potential payout
- $604.55
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- User PnL
- $10.78
Over position
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $118.57
- Potential payout
- $464.99
- Potential profit
- $346.42
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $6.97
Rank #6
generalSVR
0x5e85...80c1 Public
- PnL
- $5.2K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $29.91K
- Potential payout
- $260.08K
- Potential profit
- $230.17K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $821.43
- Potential payout
- $14.29K
- Potential profit
- $13.46K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Rank #7
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $5.2K
- Volume
- $38.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $280.08K
- Potential payout
- $320.09K
- Potential profit
- $40.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $53.86K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
Rank #8
AlexCimmeria
0x21c7...191a Public
- PnL
- $5.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $31.72K
- Potential payout
- $275.81K
- Potential profit
- $244.09K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $6.4K
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $8.6K
- Potential profit
- $5.46K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$285
Rank #9
f2hf84hg52h5
0x4b29...716f Public
- PnL
- $4.92K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $60.85K
- Potential payout
- $61K
- Potential profit
- $152.5
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $11.27K
- Potential payout
- $11.9K
- Potential profit
- $630.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $428.3
Rank #10
Poopin
0xc1fa...d0b7 Public
- PnL
- $4.51K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $25.95K
- Potential payout
- $225.64K
- Potential profit
- $199.69K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$677
Rank #11
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $4.28K
- Volume
- $10.99K
- Win rate
- 18.2%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $228.85K
- Potential payout
- $230.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- $6.84K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $213.89K
- Potential payout
- $216.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.3K
Rank #12
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb...3e4a Public @LlamaLoco0000
- PnL
- $4.27K
- Volume
- $10.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $253.11K
- Potential payout
- $260.27K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $55.74K
- Potential payout
- $412.91K
- Potential profit
- $357.17K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.05K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $253.11K
- Potential payout
- $260.27K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $213.89K
- Potential payout
- $216.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.3K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $212.96K
- Potential payout
- $224.88K
- Potential profit
- $11.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $17.36K
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $175.53K
- Potential payout
- $235.61K
- Potential profit
- $60.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $74.98K
- Potential payout
- $549.29K
- Potential profit
- $474.31K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.37K
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