Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $103.87K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $170.43K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $679.58K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$254.57K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $683.33K
Potential payout: $854.7K
Potential profit: $171.37K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $255.27K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $133.88K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $181.13K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$23.63K

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 10:42 AM

PnL: $19.49K
Volume: $11.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $15.35K
Potential payout: $40.93K
Potential profit: $25.58K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $9.38K

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.26K
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $49.97K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $28.72K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.86K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.48K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $323.7
User PnL: $7.27K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.52K
Volume: $609.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $346.85K
Potential payout: $453.4K
Potential profit: $106.55K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $12.68K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $10.21K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $52.13K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $341.04
User PnL: $6.19K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $8.2K
Volume: $54.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $220.27K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $773.65
User PnL: $2.17K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $186.09K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $559.95
User PnL: $2.85K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.18K
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $11.62K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.37K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.73K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.74K
Volume: $7.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$424.99

If you invest $100 $215.05 back +$115.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.09M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.82K

If you invest $100 $66.67K back +$66.57K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.1K
Volume: $59.45K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $154.6K
Potential payout: $155.61K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: $12.79K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.67K
Volume: $4.65K
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $226.89K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $210.54K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.95K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.56K
Volume: $8.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $19.86K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: $20.04

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $4.29K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $157.73
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $837.5

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.53K
Volume: $119.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $683.33K
Potential payout: $854.7K
Potential profit: $171.37K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $255.27K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $170.43K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $679.58K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$254.57K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $226.89K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $210.54K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $5.73K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.95K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $204.36K
Potential payout: $208.32K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.34K

If you invest $100 $101.94 back +$1.94 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $181.13K
Potential payout: $315K
Potential profit: $133.88K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $23.63K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

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