Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $136.55K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $237.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$63.8K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $31.67K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $29.3K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $170.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $12.2K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $37.1K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $162.9K
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
QuietRiskisWrong
0x88c4...129a Public
- PnL
- $4.64K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $799.2K
- Potential payout
- $913.37K
- Potential profit
- $114.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $139.78K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $30.92K
- Potential payout
- $31.54K
- Potential profit
- $615
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8K
Rank #2
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $3.86K
- Volume
- $30.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $627.64K
- Potential payout
- $628.58K
- Potential profit
- $942.87
- User PnL
- $80.07K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $621.94K
- Potential payout
- $623.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- $50.38K
Rank #3
forcestrut1
0x0405...da82 Public
- PnL
- $3.74K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $136.55K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $237.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$63.8K
Rank #4
drop126
0xee0f...4cf5 Public
- PnL
- $3.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $133.44K
- Potential payout
- $365.6K
- Potential profit
- $232.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$38.91K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $84
Rank #5
machbut
0xc2de...6781 Public
- PnL
- $3.09K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 52.2%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $333.6K
- Potential payout
- $415.18K
- Potential profit
- $81.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $24K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $645.51
- Potential payout
- $4.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- -$111.51
Rank #6
nojnn
0x7f9e...3a0e Public
- PnL
- $3.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $518.71K
- Potential payout
- $592.81K
- Potential profit
- $74.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $109.39K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $62.42K
- Potential payout
- $63.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.19K
Rank #7
f2hf84hg52h5
0x4b29...716f Public
- PnL
- $3.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $60.79K
- Potential payout
- $61K
- Potential profit
- $213.5
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $12.6K
- Potential payout
- $80.77K
- Potential profit
- $68.17K
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- -$55.1K
Rank #8
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $2.44K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $228.16K
- Potential payout
- $230.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.15K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $212.81K
- Potential payout
- $216.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.22K
Rank #9
65765757
0x2974...9c23 Public
- PnL
- $2.18K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $378.94K
- Potential payout
- $433.07K
- Potential profit
- $54.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $77.92K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $23.01K
- Potential payout
- $28.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Rank #10
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $2.03K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $495.66K
- Potential payout
- $499.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- User PnL
- $58.43K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $47.54K
- Potential payout
- $51.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Rank #11
pilimili
0xd104...acef Public
- PnL
- $1.92K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 47.1%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $636.82K
- Potential payout
- $641.64K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- $34.28K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $37.1K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $162.9K
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Rank #12
alliswell
0x1521...f23e Public
- PnL
- $1.6K
- Volume
- $19.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $122.24K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $27.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.39
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $228.16K
- Potential payout
- $230.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.15K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $212.81K
- Potential payout
- $216.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.22K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $212.73K
- Potential payout
- $224.88K
- Potential profit
- $12.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $17.14K
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $136.55K
- Potential payout
- $374.1K
- Potential profit
- $237.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$63.8K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $122.24K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $27.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $62.42K
- Potential payout
- $63.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.19K
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