Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $32.85K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $136.55K
Potential payout: $374.1K
Potential profit: $237.55K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$63.8K

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $29.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $170.7K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $12.2K

If you invest $100 $682.59 back +$582.59 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $36.9K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $163.1K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $4.6K

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:55 AM

PnL: $5.61K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $136.55K
Potential payout: $374.1K
Potential profit: $237.55K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$63.8K

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.48K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $133.44K
Potential payout: $365.6K
Potential profit: $232.16K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$38.91K

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $84

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.64K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $799.2K
Potential payout: $913.37K
Potential profit: $114.17K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $139.78K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $30.92K
Potential payout: $31.54K
Potential profit: $615
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.04K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $518.71K
Potential payout: $592.81K
Potential profit: $74.1K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $109.39K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $62.42K
Potential payout: $63.66K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.19K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.89K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $60.79K
Potential payout: $61K
Potential profit: $213.5
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $11.32K
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $577.15
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $481.85

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.68K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $227.93K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.92K

If you invest $100 $101.16 back +$1.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $213.97K
Potential payout: $224.88K
Potential profit: $10.91K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.37K

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.4K
Volume: $26.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $631.77K
Potential payout: $632.71K
Potential profit: $949.07
User PnL: $80.59K

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $621.94K
Potential payout: $623.5K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: $50.38K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.17K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $378.94K
Potential payout: $433.07K
Potential profit: $54.13K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $77.92K

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $23.01K
Potential payout: $28.24K
Potential profit: $5.23K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.75K

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.03K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $495.66K
Potential payout: $499.4K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: $58.43K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $47.54K
Potential payout: $51.39K
Potential profit: $3.85K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.92K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 47.1%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $636.82K
Potential payout: $641.64K
Potential profit: $4.81K
User PnL: $34.28K

If you invest $100 $100.76 back +$0.76 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $36.9K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $163.1K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $4.6K

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $37.18K
Potential payout: $101.87K
Potential profit: $64.69K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$7.19K

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.44K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $10.53K
Potential payout: $10.59K
Potential profit: $63.55
User PnL: $483.87

If you invest $100 $100.6 back +$0.6 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $10.49K
Potential payout: $10.6K
Potential profit: $111.31
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.77K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $213.97K
Potential payout: $224.88K
Potential profit: $10.91K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.37K

If you invest $100 $105.1 back +$5.1 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $212.81K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $3.46K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.22K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $136.55K
Potential payout: $374.1K
Potential profit: $237.55K
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$63.8K

If you invest $100 $273.97 back +$173.97 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $62.42K
Potential payout: $63.66K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $17.19K

If you invest $100 $101.99 back +$1.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $47.54K
Potential payout: $51.39K
Potential profit: $3.85K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.27K

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $36.9K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $163.1K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $4.6K

If you invest $100 $542.01 back +$442.01 estimated profit if it wins

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